Week 14 anytime touchdown scorers will be tough to come by, but I have an odd feeling we see a lot of chalk. Only one total for the afternoon is above 50 (DET/MIN) and the weather in Buffalo/New York could be a big factor on scoring. I’m going with some favorites this week regardless of the juice, with some discretion of course. Let’s take a look at this week’s list.
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Miles Sanders, PHI ( +105)
We talked about that weather in New York already, but I’m expecting a full workload for Sanders this Sunday as rain is expected in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants are getting gashed by opposing RB’s this season as they’ve allowed 9 rushing TDs to opposing RBs, so let’s make it 10 for Sanders, and the Eagles to run away with this one.
CeeDee Lamb, DAL (+105)
This game is expected to be the ugliest of the weekend with Dallas as 17.5-point favorites. Nonetheless, Dallas has no shame in running up the score, and you won’t find Lamb’s TD odds much better than this for the rest of the season. Lamb has 3 TDs since Dak’s return and the focus tomorrow will be the running backs, but I’m going in the other direction, and expect Lamb to find the end zone at least once.
Isiah Pacheco, KC (+115)
The Broncos defense has been stout against the run these past few weeks, but it’s been easy to lock in against the rush with passing offenses like Tennessee, Carolina and Baltimore. Pacheco is cemented as RB1 in this Chiefs offense and has seen 14+ carries over the last 4 weeks. He’s scored a TD in two straight games, and this is one where I envision him having another big workload.
Tee Higgins, CIN (+135)
Higgins has the best matchup in the Browns secondary this week. Twelve receiving TDs to opposing WRs and a Browns team that’s awful against the deep ball. Sign me up for Higgins now that this Bengals offense is officially rolling. The Browns defense is ranked 28th in DVOA vs WR2’s and 28th in DVOA for deep passes. They have allowed 12 TDs to opposing WRs this season.
Josh Allen, BUF (+170)
A divisional matchup that means something in snowy Buffalo? Yeah, I’m banking on Josh Allen, and shocked these odds are this high considering he had 2 rushing TDs versus NYJ a few weeks back. Singletary is losing carries to James Cook over the last few weeks, but neither is the big bodied back you want on the goal line come December. Allen gets it done.
DJ Chark, DET (+230)
We have to have a player in the highest point total game for our anytime TD article. I thought to go a several different ways on this game. Hockenson will be the favorite due to the revenge game angle, but I’m pivoting to the Vikings secondary as a point of weakness. The Vikings have given up 7 TDs to either WR2 or slot WRs this season and have done an outstanding job of keeping WR1s out of the end zone. Chark is the perfect candidate to score in this game. Coming off of 3 straight weeks of increased snap count and a floor of 5+ targets on the game.
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