Ian Wilkerson
Show Bio
Euro 2020 has reached its semi-final stage with Italy set to play Spain at Wembley Stadium in London on Tuesday for a place in the final at the same venue on Sunday.
Italy is the favorite to go through to play England or Denmark despite the fact that Roberto Mancini’s team failed to even qualify for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Confidence in the Azzurri has soared since as they have gone 32 games without suffering a loss.
Italy beat the world’s highest-ranked team, Belgium, in the quarter-finals with a 2-1 win in Munich, Germany, so hopes are high that the Italians can win their first European crown since 1968.
Spain, meanwhile, won this tournament in 2008 and 2012 and a new generation of stars has done well to reach this stage, despite winning only one of its five games inside 90 minutes.
It has been a difficult path as Luis Enrique’s team was able to only tie with Croatia, winning 5-3 after extra-time in a dramatic game in Copenhagen, Denmark, while they needed PKs to beat Switzerland in their quarter-final.
Here is the parlay we have prepared for this match-up, which pays +750 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Italy ML (+145)
Over 7.5 corners (-345)
Lorenzo Insigne to score at any time (+330)
Parlay odds: +750
Let’s take a look at each leg and explain the reasoning behind it.
Italy ML (+145)
Italy has been rocked by the news that left-back Leonardo Spinazzola will miss the game after he suffered a serious Achilles tendon injury in the win over Belgium, but that should not set the Azzurri back too much.
Roberto Mancini’s team needed to recover from a goal behind in extra-time to beat Austria on their last visit to Wembley in the last 16, but their other four games have all been won inside regulation time, which is something that could happen again against Spain.
Their opponents keep possession well but this Spanish team is not as good as the one that won this trophy in consecutive tournaments and also lifted the 2010 World Cup.
La Roja has not truly convinced and has won just one of its five games in regulation time — and that was against a poor Slovenia team.
After two grueling matches against Croatia and Switzerland, this could be a step too far for Spain. Take Italy on the money line.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Italy vs. Spain
Over 7.5 corners (-345)
Both teams like to attack from the wings and that could mean there will be lots of corners at Wembley on Tuesday.
Spinazzola’s absence is a blow for Italy in this respect but there should still be plenty of space to be exploited.
Spain has earned 41 corners in its five games, which is about one every 12 minutes, if extra-time is included, and enough possession should be earned to force more against the Azzurri.
Italy, meanwhile, is likely to break on the wings and will look to score through its powerful defenders who could be a threat at set-pieces.
Read our previews and predictions for both Euro 2020 semi-finals
CREDIT – Sipa USA
Lorenzo Insigne to score (+330)
Without Spinazzola in the Italian team, someone has to fill the void on the left side of the attack and Insigne could flourish in that space.
The Napoli man did just that against Belgium with a stunning strike from the edge of the penalty area that gave Italy its second goal and allowed Mancini’s team to take a stranglehold on the game.
He was also on target in Italy’s opening 3-0 win over Turkey and he looks a good price to take his tally to three at Wembley on Tuesday.
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