Andrew Ortenberg
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We’re back with a July 4 edition of the daily public money update. There’s no NBA or NHL on tonight, but we do have an early look at how NBA Finals bets are shaping up. Let’s take a look at where the public money is going as bettors once again try to beat the books, with the Bucks vs. Suns series leading the way.
NBA: Suns -6 vs. Bucks
The NBA season is winding down, and after Milwaukee closed out Atlanta last night we’ve got our finals matchup set. It’s not exactly lopsided, but so far the early money is trending toward Phoenix as we approach Game 1 on Tuesday. 58 percent of the money and 60 percent of the bets are on the Suns to cover the -6 spread, per DraftKings’ internal numbers shared with us.
There’s still plenty of time for that to reverse itself, and a lot could hinge on whether or not Giannis Antetokounmpo plays. If he does suit up the line will shift dramatically in the Bucks’ favor, and so too likely will the bet splits.
Joey Chestnut to win Nathan’s hot dog contest -3335
Switching things up with a fun one now. Even though the hot dog eating contest is already in the books, it’s still interesting to take a look at those bet splits. Chestnut was unsurprisingly a massive favorite, as ‘the field’ was at +900 to win the event. 86 percent of the bets were on the field, likely from recreational bettors just throwing a few bucks, but 89 percent of the money was on Chestnut at ridiculous odds. That means there were likely some huge volume wagers on Chestnut.
MLB: Angels -1.5 vs. Orioles
Looking at the baseball slate now, the early games are underway, but there’s a heavy public side brewing in the afternoon slate. The Orioles are once again one of the worst teams in the league, so this one isn’t too hard to understand. 87 percent of the bets and 96 percent of the money are laying the -1.5 with the Angels here against Baltimore.
Thanks to the presence of Shohei Ohtani, there’s a lot of excitement around this Angels team right now. It also doesn’t hurt that the Orioles are starting Thomas Eshelman, who enters this one with a 6.57 ERA. The public is also heavy on the over here, with 79 percent of the bets and 73 percent of the money being on the over 10. With Eshelman starting, we agree with both of those plays.
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