Sam Avellone
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College football Week 8 is headlined by a few marquee matchups, but the contest between now-conference foes #5 Georgia and #1 Texas is considered to be the biggest matchup of the weekend. The Longhorns come into this game with a perfect 6-0 SU record and just 1 ATS loss, winning every game by at least 19 points. The Bulldogs haven’t been so kind to bettors. While Georgia’s lone blemish on its record was a loss at Alabama at the end of September, the Bulldogs have not covered a spread since Week 1 against Clemson. Take that with a grain of salt, as Georgia was at least a 21-point favorite in all but 2 games this season (Clemson and Alabama). In fact, this will be the first time oddsmakers list Georgia as an underdog since Week 1 of the 2021 season against Clemson.
Given a match of this magnitude, I put together a Georgia vs Texas same game parlay in hopes of cashing in on a juicy payout. Let’s break down each leg, and don’t forget to check out the rest of our college football picks for this massive Week 8 slate!
Texas Longhorns first half alternate spread -0.5 over Georgia Bulldogs (-150)
Carson Beck (UGA) Over 33.5 pass attempts (-135)
Quintrevion Wisner (TEX) over 58.5 rushing yards (-115)
Georgia Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns same game parlay odds: +350
Odds courtesy of Bet365 at the time of publishing
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Texas Longhorns first half alternate spread -0.5 over Georgia Bulldogs (-150)
The Georgia Bulldogs have not been particularly good in the first half when they play away from Athens. They have scored just 19 total first half points in 3 games away from their home field against Clemson, Kentucky and Alabama, so I’m not confident in their ability to start any differently in an unfamiliar setting in Austin. The Longhorns have been very stout defensively, especially in the first half at home. They yield an average of 4 points per first half in Austin, and they score more than 25 points of their own in the opening halves in front of their fans. Georgia’s defense is certainly no slouch, but it has been beatable early in games away from home. They give up 12 points per first half in those games, 5.5 points higher than their average in Athens. Expect a strong start from the Longhorns in front of a rowdy Texas crowd.
Read our full-game preview for this SEC showdown between Georgia and Texas
Carson Beck (UGA) Over 33.5 pass attempts (-135)
Georgia’s run game has struggled for a large portion of the season. The Bulldogs are outside the top 65 in rush PPA, rush success and rush explosiveness since Week 3 (excluding garbage time), largely due to inefficient play from the offensive line. Georgia’s blockers are 107th in stuff rate allowed, 115th in line yards and 101st in power success in the last 5 weeks, which means the success of the offense is going to fall on the arm of Carson Beck. That’s nothing new to him, as Georgia has been in or around the top 35 in pass rate since the middle of September. Without a reliable run game, look for Beck to be called upon frequently against Texas, especially if the Bulldogs continue their trend of slow starts. He has surpassed this total in 2 of his last 3 games, both of which were high-scoring like this game figures to be. Texas has not allowed an opposing quarterback to throw more than 33 times, yet this line is juiced to the Over. I feel as though oddsmakers are begging for Under money on this one. Give me the Over on Beck’s pass attempts.
Check out our expert’s best bets of Week 8’s Saturday slate!
Quintrevion Wisner (TEX) over 58.5 rushing yards (-115)
Texas has plenty of talent at the skill positions, and any of them could explode at any time. However, there is a bit of a pattern emerging with Quintrevion Wisner. He led the Longhorns in rushing attempts and yards per carry (of those with at least 2 carries) in Texas’ 2 conference games against Mississippi State and Oklahoma, and seems to be emerging as at least a 1B to Jayden Blue’s 1A – if not the starting back. Wisner has more yards than Blue on 17 less carries, and is better after a contact by more than 1 yard per attempt. Furthermore, Wisner’s breakaway percentage is double that of Blue’s according to PFF. Assuming Wisner receives at least 11 or 12 carries again, he should cruise over this total against a Georgia defense that has not been as strong against the rush this year as in years past.
