Ricky Dimon
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You don’t have to wait until Saturday to immerse yourself in college football Week 7 action. In fact, you didn’t even have to wait until Wednesday as the week-night games started on Tuesday and this stretch of football, football and more football continues on Friday. This presents us with another great opportunity to come up with a lucrative mega parlay.
Below are my plays for Friday, and also be sure to check out all of our NCAAF picks.
Memphis ML (+164)
Fresno State -6.5 alternate spread (+118)
Colorado -11 (-110)
NCAAF parlay odds: +999
For this parlay we are going with an underdog on the money line and two favorites against the spread, one on an alternate number. Let’s break down each of the legs.
Memphis ML over Tulane (+164)
This should be a fantastic matchup atop the American Athletic Conference. It could go either way, so you have to think that getting Memphis this far into plus-money is the value play. Arguably the two best quarterbacks in the conference will be on display. For Tulane, it’s Michael Pratt. However, the bad news for Pratt and company is that Memphis’ defense is most effective against the pass (15th nationally in passing success rate and 3rd in success on 3rd and 4th downs).
The way to beat the Tigers is on the ground, but the Green Wave don’t really like to move the ball that way. Meanwhile, QB Seth Henigan and the Memphis passing attack should be able to feast on a Tulane defense that is 86th in passing success rate despite having played just one competent passing offense up to this point in the season. The Tigers are coming off a much-needed bye week following tight games against Missouri and Boise State. They are well rested and ready to take care of business at home.
Fresno State -6.5 alternate spread over Utah State (+118)
Fresno State comes into this one at 5-1, having lost only to a very good Wyoming team on the road last week. Utah State is 3-3 on the year (1-1 in the Mountain West conference). There is some concern that UCF transfer Mikey Keene won’t be able to go for the Bulldogs under center after sustaining a leg injury in the loss to Wyoming, but they should be fine no matter what.
Utah State’s defense isn’t any good against the pass, so Fresno State will likely post a big number on the scoreboard regardless of who is running the offense. On the side of the ball, the Bulldogs boast a stifling pass defense. I don’t think the Aggies will be able to keep up. Look for Fresno State to get back on track with a win by at least a touchdown.
Colorado -11 over Stanford (-110)
Colorado was overrated following 3 victorious weeks of the season, including a defeat of then-#17 TCU. However, 2 losses later plus a narrow victory over Arizona State and now the odds on the Buffaloes are such that you can get them at a favorable price. Being only -11 favorites against an atrocious Stanford team presents a great betting opportunity. The Cardinal are 1-4 overall and in the midst of a 4-game losing streak that includes a setback against Sacramento State. They fell to USC 56-10 – the same USC squad that just barely beat Colorado 48-41.
Head coach Deion Sanders’ team has already exceeded its over/under win total of 3.5. A lot of bettors got it at 4.5 before hammering the under knocked it down. Those who have under 4.5 still have a chance…but not a good one! Colorado should win this game and win it big. If Stanford allowed 30 points to Sacramento State, just think how many it will give up to Shedeur Sanders and company.
You can also read our Stanford vs Colorado Same Game Parlay and Week 7 CFB Best Bets
