Matthew Lowrimore
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This Week 12 College Football card has had its fair share of Covid postponements and cancellations, but there are still plenty of games to find value on. While you can get our thoughts on the side and total for every Week 12 College Football game, here we’ll be picking a handful of money line spots that each present value, with a few underdogs mixed in. This week we’ve got an eight-teamer payout for you, with a payout north of 84/1.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -210
Oregon State Beavers +122
Iowa Hawkeyes -128
Liberty Flames +168
Arkansas Razorbacks +106
Wisconsin Badgers -340
Auburn Tigers -470
USC Trojans -144
Parlay Odds: +8470
Plenty of nice looking underdogs on this card and a few favorites that should be locks. Let’s break down each game one by one.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to beat Appalachian State Mountaineers (-210)
Coastal has a very balanced offense, part of the reason why they have been so good against the Sun Belt. They average 37.9 points per game, so they just have the ability to outscore you. They are led by quarterback, Grayson McCall, who has 16 touchdowns and just one interception. McCall has also run for 274 yards and has four touchdowns with his legs. App State has the potential to be missing their starting quarterback, so I like the Chanticleers to win.
Oregon State Beavers to beat California Bears (+122)
Oregon State has at the very least been somewhat competitive, while Cal just got blown out in what was their first game of the season. The Beavers have lost by an average of just eight points in their two games, therefore I like their chances here. Though it is worth noting that they have had some success passing and running the ball, so against this soft Bears’ defense, they will be able to score.
Iowa Hawkeyes to beat Penn State Nittany Lions (-128)
The Hawkeyes have stepped up big time over the last two weeks, beating Michigan State 49-7 and then last Friday beating Minnesota 35-7. Iowa really could be 4-0 as their two losses have come by a combined five points. Plus, they had leads in both of these games and could not hold on. Though clearly their offense is clicking right now, and their defense is allowing basically nothing. Iowa will look to keep rolling against probably the worst team in the Big Ten.
Liberty Flames to beat North Carolina State Wolfpack (+168)
The Flames are coming off a 58-14 win over Western Carolina, a game in which they had 632 yards of offense. Malik Willis is having a fantastic season, throwing for 306 yards in this game with three touchdowns. He also added 97 yards on the ground with two rushing touchdowns. The Flames do most of their damage on the ground, averaging 254.5 yards per game an against a poor Wolfpack run defense, they are going to have success.
Arkansas Razorbacks to beat LSU Tigers (+106)
Arkansas’s program seems to be trending in the right direction while LSU is scrambling to pick up the pieces after losing a number of players to the NFL. Arkansas is 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 meetings against this opponent, and they’re 5-1 against the spread in the past six games where they’ve served as the home team in this matchup. This spread is moving towards Arkansas, so at this point, taking them on the money line would be worth a shot.
Wisconsin Badgers to beat Northwestern Wildcats (-340)
Wisconsin has looked good but we only have a couple of data points to go on so far. The Badgers dominated in their opener, and then looked even better rolling over Michigan last week. Both wins were easy covers and they are only favored by a half-point more on the road this week at Northwestern than they were at the Big House last week. The Badgers’ have an elite defense, so I like them to get the win on the road.
Auburn Tigers to beat Tennessee Volunteers (-470)
In two of the past three outings, the Tigers have produced more than 200 yards both on the ground and through the air. Bo Nix not only passed for 300 yards against LSU but he also led his team in rushing with 81 yards. He has four touchdowns and no interceptions over the past two contests, and mistake-free football is the recipe for Auburn’s success.
USC Trojans to beat Utah Utes (-144)
I figure the Trojans should be able to ramp up their offense a little bit even though Utah is generally a strong defensive team. I wonder if USC might be able to tire out the Utah defense. Keep in mind, this is Utah’s first game of the season. As such we don’t know a ton about them other than they were gutted by personnel losses after a very strong 2019 season.
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