Ricky Dimon
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The Washington Huskies currently find themselves at #5 in the College Football Playoff rankings, but they certainly control their own destiny since #2 Ohio State and #3 Michigan still have to play each other. Washington’s bid to stay undefeated and remain on the doorstep of a berth in the CFP hasn’t been easy and the difficulty to continues on Saturday in the form of a road date with the Oregon State Beavers. Oregon State is has lost twice in 2023, but it is unblemished at home and comes in at #11 in the rankings.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which will be televised starting at 7:30 pm ET on ABC. Also be sure to check out our full Washington vs Oregon State predictions.
Oregon State -1.5 (-108)
DJ Uiagalelei to record 3+ passing touchdowns (+205)
Michael Penix Jr. to record 3+ passing touchdowns (+118)
Parlay odds: +971
One of the benefits of Same Game Parlays, of course, is that you can correlate the plays. That is some of the plan here, as Oregon State quarterback DJ Uiagalelei lighting up the endzone would obviously work well with a win and cover by the Beavers. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. to also have a big day through the air. But even if that happens, there is no reason why the home team can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Oregon State -1.5 (-112)
Don’t be surprised if Oregon State capitalizes on what is a great situational spot at home this weekend. Washington is in the midst of its toughest stretch of games this season, having just defeated USC on the road in a 52-42 shootout before following up that performance up with a 35-28 home win over Utah. Now the Huskies have to go to Corvallis, Oregon. Few visiting teams emerge victorious from that location and none has done so in 2023. In fact, Oregon State’s only loss at home in the last 2 years is a 3-point defeat at the hands of USC in 2022. We have already seen the likes of Utah and UCLA fare poorly at Reser Stadium this season and Washington can be expected to do the same in front of a raucous crowd. That’s not to say it will be easy, but the Beavers should be able to win outright and cover a miniscule -1.5 spread in the process.
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DJ Uiagalelei to record 3+ passing touchdowns (+205)
Washington’s run defense is terrible, but it’s not like this team is stingy against the pass. The Huskies are in the bottom 10 nationally in passing defense, giving up 269.6 yards per game. Oregon State can a lot of damage on Saturday both on the ground and through the air, resulting in plenty of red-zone opportunities. The more times the Beavers get close to the endzone, the more chances Uiagalelei has to rack up passing touchdowns. A change of scenery from Clemson has been just what the doctor ordered for the junior signal-caller, who has thrown 20 TDs compared to only 4 INTs in his first season at Oregon State. He has thrown multiple touchdown passes in 4 of the last 5 games, including a 5-spot against California last month.
Michael Penix Jr. to record 3+ passing touchdowns (+118)
Oregon State is in the top 20 nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 102.6 yards per outing on 3.3 yards per carry. The Beavers are surrendering an average of 230.5 passing yards and have watched opponents score 16 touchdowns through the air compared to 9 on the ground. Washington will probably have to score a ton of points in order to keep up with Oregon State’s offense and Penix will put it upon himself to accomplish that feat. The Heisman Trophy candidate has tossed 28 scoring strikes so far this year, including at least 3 on 6 occasions. He has thrown 4 TDs 5 times and even 5 in the season opener against Boise State. Let’s be honest; Penix should throw at least 3 on Saturday.
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