Ricky Dimon
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What this week in college football does not have is marquee matchups. What it does have—like all other weeks—is plenty of betting opportunities.
We have free picks on the side and total for all of the big games, which you can view in our NCAAF picks page. Make sure to also catch up on all our analysis articles in our college football news section. For now we are talking about teasers, and for these we are shifting lines by 6 points. Let’s dive right into the best ones for Week 8.
Notre Dame -0.5 (6-point tease from -6.5) over USC
USC fell to 3-3 two weeks ago by succumbing to Utah, and it has yet to string together back-to-back wins this season. Most of that can be blamed on the defense; USC is allowing more than 380 yards of total offense per game and has already given up 42+ points on three separate occasions. The Trojans have endured a tumultuous 2021 campaign that has included head coach Clay Helton being fired just two games into the season, and their best win up to this point is against Washington State. Notre Dame continued its strong play last weekend with another victory, this time defeating Virginia Tech. The Fighting Irish love to air the ball out offensively (270.5 passing yards per game) and have been extremely opportunistic on defense with at least two takeaways in all but one game so far. They should be able to victimize a USC team that shoots itself in the foot way too often (31 combined penalties the last three games).
The best teasers are ones that move the spread through a lot of key numbers (like 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.) and also move it by a large percentage (for example, moving a spread 6 points from -6.5 to -0.5 is lot more productive than moving one by -34.5 to -28.5). This teaser does both. You should like it a lot.
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Boston College +12 (6-point tease from +6) over Louisville
The Cardinals have lost two in a row due to some lackluster defensive play. After allowing 71 total points their previous two games, only two of their six opponents have failed to put up at least 35. Louisville is surrendering almost 300 passing per outing, ranking near the bottom of the FBS in that department. Boston College had been playing very well up until its loss last week to N.C. State. The Eagles are averaging almost 31 points per game and also boast a strong defense. They rank in the top 40 in the country in just about every major statistical category on that side of the ball.
Boston College really should cover 6 points, but teasing it up through 7 and 10 obviously makes the bet even safer.
Check out all of our Week 8 college football predictions
Colorado +14.5 (6-point tease from +8.5) over California
Colorado got its second win of the season last week, beating Arizona 34-0 and extending the Wildcats’ losing streak to 18 games. QB Brendon Lewis threw for 248 yards and 2 touchdowns even though the Wildcats are allowing just 169.7 passing yards per game. The Buffaloes’ offense has not been great in 2021, but they have been carried by a defense that is allowing just 19.8 ppg. They are particularly strong at stopping opponents through the air, yielding just 215.3 passing yards per game. That will be key as they go up against a California passing attack that is averaging 248.7 passing yards per contest. The Golden Bears are 1-5 and their only win has come against Sacramento State in Week 3.
A low-scoring game is expected (the over/under is 43), which makes a tease even more effective. Moving it through 10 and also through 14 is huge; the Buffs only have to keep this within two touchdowns.
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