Ricky Dimon
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The college football season has already been a fun one, headlined by Colorado’s rise – at least temporarily – to national prominence. But things really heat up in Week 4, when by far the most intriguing slate of games to date takes center stage. It includes this showdown between Ohio State and Notre Dame, which is a matchup featuring two teams in the top 10 of both the AP and Coaches polls.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which will be televised starting at 7:30 pm ET on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Ohio State vs Notre Dame predictions.
Notre Dame +3.5 (-120)
Holden Staes to score a touchdown (+250)
TreVeyon Henderson to record 60+ rushing yards (-154)
Parlay odds: +1117
One of the benefits of Same Game Parlays, of course, is that you can correlate the plays. That is some of the plan here, as tight end Holden Staes finding the end zone would obviously work well with a Notre Dame cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Ohio State running back TreVeyon Henderson to rack up his fair share of rushing yards. But even if that happens, there is no reason why the Fighting Irish can’t be competitive. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Notre Dame +3.5 (-120)
With the jury still out on both teams, I will take the 3.5 points in what could be a very close game. Ohio State has not played a team this strong up to this point in the 2023 campaign and the offense scored only 23 points against Indiana. CJ Stroud took his talents to the NFL, so there is a transition going on with Kyle McCord taking over under center. McCord has been solid so far, but the competition level has been unspectacular at best. Notre Dame, on the other hand, has a proven winner calling the offensive shots. A transfer from Wake Forest, 24-year-old Sam Hartman has thrown for 1,061 yards with 13 TDs and no INTs 4 games into his tenure with the Fighting Irish. Give me the home team to cover.
Holden Staes to score a touchdown (+250)
There is no reason to overthink this one. When you can get a player who has scored 4 touchdowns in 3 games to find the end zone at +250, it’s an opportunity that should be taken. Staes has 6 catches on the season and 4 of them have gone for TDs; that’s 66.7% for those counting. The 6’4’’, 242-pounder is an ideal red-zone target, as Tennessee State, NC State and Central Michigan found out the hard way. That’s right, Staes has scored at least once in all 3 of his games played this season. Meanwhile, through 3 games Ohio State is limiting opponents to 2.5 yards per rush and has surrendered just 1 TD on the ground. I expect Staes to be involved early and often, especially near the goal line.
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TreVeyon Henderson to record 60+ rushing yards (-154)
TreVeyon Henderson is averaging more than 63 yards per game even though he has not yet had more than 13 carries on any occasion. Ohio State has not played a game closer than 22 points, which explains why Henderson hasn’t been required to tote the rock a whole bunch of times. Still, he has logged 30 total carries and nobody else on the squad has rushed more than 19 times. I think he could get close to 20 this weekend, which means he will almost certainly sail over this quota regardless of how stingy the Notre Dame defense plays.
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