Ricky Dimon
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Bowl season of the 2023 college football campaign continues on Saturday with a 4-game slate. It includes the Orange Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida State Seminoles. It’s not a bowl game in which either team wanted to find itself. Georgia’s hopes ended with its SEC Championship loss to Alabama, while Florida State is undefeated but got snubbed by the College Football Playoff.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which will be televised starting at 4:00 pm ET on ESPN. Also be sure to check out our full Georgia vs Florida State predictions.
Over 44.5 (-105)
Kendall Milton Over 56.5 rushing yards (-115)
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint to score a touchdown (+154)
Parlay odds: +557
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Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as running back Kendall Milton racking up his fair share of rushing yards and receiver Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint scoring a touchdown would obviously work well with the over. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Over 44.5 (-105)
As almost 3-touchdown favorites, the Bulldogs can be expected to do most of the scoring on Saturday. They may do close to do enough by themselves to take this game over the 44.5 total. Georgia has exceeded such a quota by itself 5 times this season and scored 43 on another occasion against Florida. Head coach Kirby Smart’s squad has reached the 30-point mark 4 other times. Unlike many UGA teams of the past, this one is pretty much an offensive juggernaut. Surprisingly, almost no Bulldogs opted out of this game so they will be working on a mostly full tank of gas. The same cannot be said of the Seminoles, who are depleted all over the field – and especially on defense. Not having defensive end Jared Verse could be especially crippling. Because this FSU defense is nowhere near full strength, I’m counting on the Dawgs to score in bunches.
Kendall Milton Over 56.5 rushing yards (-115)
For whatever it’s worth, Florida State’s defense as we formerly knew it was much more dominant against the pass than against the run. In fact, the ‘Noles rank #8 nationally in passing defense, allowing just 170.4 yards per game through the air on an anemic 5.7 yards per pass. However, they are giving up 135.3 rushing yards per contest. As such, Georgia should be in line for a big afternoon on the ground. Milton splits carriers in the backfield with Daijun Edwards, but recently it has been Milton doing most of the damage. Following 7 consecutive contests in which Edwards was the team’s leading rusher, Milton has earned that distinction in 4 straight. His last 4 rushing totals are 127, 66, 156 and 42 yards. Getting to 57 at the expense of an undermanned FSU side seems well within reach.
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint to score a touchdown (+154)
As impressive as the Seminoles have been against the pass, they haven’t run into an attack like that of Georgia and their current defense won’t resemble anything like what was on display during the regular season and the ACC Championship against Louisville. Georgia should be able to also find plenty of success through the air, including in the red zone. Rosemy-Jacksaint has produced 502 yards and 4 touchdowns on 32 catches so far this season. He found the endzone twice against Tennessee on November 18 before missing the final 2 regular-season games. MRJ returned for the SEC title tilt against Alabama, so he is good to go for the bowl game and can expected to return to his productive ways. At +154, he has good value to reach paydirt.
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