Caleb Wilfinger
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We’re in for what should be an entertaining matchup on the west coast when Deion Sanders and the Colorado Buffaloes head to Los Angeles for a date with the UCLA Bruins. The Buffs are looking to bounce back after a brutal home loss to Stanford two weeks ago, while UCLA is looking to stay in contention for a Pac-12 title. This is a spot where the underdog could be barking, but I’m certainly not leaning in that direction.
Here is my Oregon vs Utah Same Game Parlay for Saturday’s matchup, which will be televised on FOX starting at 3:30 pm ET. Also, be sure to check out our full Colorado vs UCLA predictions.
UCLA -15 (-110)
Under 61.5 (-110)
Shedeur Sanders over 312.5 passing yards (-109)
Same Game Parlay odds: +611
One of the benefits of Same Game Parlays, of course, is that you can juice the odds up by not correlating the plays. That is some of the plan here, as a UCLA cover can correlate with the under, but doesn’t correlate with Shedeur Sanders going over his passing yards prop.
UCLA Bruins -15 over Colorado Buffalos (-110)
It is hard to prove that one week changes an entire season, but Colorado’s humiliating loss to Stanford two weeks ago didn’t feel like a one-off as much as a culmination of what critics have been saying about this Buffaloes team all year. However, they do have the chance to prove the critics wrong this week against a strong UCLA team, but I don’t see that happening. UCLA has the 10th-best scoring defense, and the 12th-best defense by yards per game.
This doesn’t bode well for a Colorado team that has played only one top-25 defense this year, when the Buffaloes played Oregon and lost by a resounding 42-6 score. UCLA does not have the offense that Oregon does but they still average 464 yards and over 31 points per game. That should be more than enough firepower to cover this number, especially with a defense that is rolling at the moment. Take the Bruins to cover the spread at home.
Under 61.5 (-110)
This is a rare spot where I’d play the under in a game involving Colorado. UCLA’s defense has been playing phenomenal this year, allowing an average of 282.6 yards per game and just under 15 points per game. Games involving UCLA have gone under in 5 of the Bruins last 7 contests, and it’s easy to see why. So while Colorado’s defense is nowhere near as good, allowing an average of 486.6 yards per game and just over 34 points per game, this should be a one-sided affair where the Buffaloes don’t score much on offense. In my estimation, the only way this game goes over is if UCLA scores well over 40 points, so as long as the total stays above 60, I like backing the under.
We have NCAAF picks for all the biggest games this week
Shedeur Sanders over 312.5 passing yards (-109)
I haven’t been as caught up in the Shedeur Sanders hype as a lot of the sports media pundits and analysts out there, but it’s hard to ignore the numbers he has put up this season, provided those games are against poor defenses. However, I actually do see value on his over passing yards today, even in a game where I lean toward the under. Simply put, I expect Colorado to be trailing for most of the contest, so the Buffaloes should be in a negative game script where they have to throw the football often. It helps that Colorado already can’t run the ball much at all, and they won’t be able to against this UCLA front seven. Sanders could pick up a ton of chunk passing plays in the second half as the game winds down and we move into garbage time, which also pushes me in the direction of an over for his passing yards.
Access all our NCAAF content for Saturday through our College Football Betting Guide
