The Browns reached the must-win stage of their season earlier than most teams when a 4-game losing streak dropped them to 2-5, but an impressive Monday Night Football win over the Bengals kept hope alive and they head to Miami on Sunday fresh from their bye week. The aim for the Browns this season was just to try to stay in the hunt until new QB Deshaun Watson is eligible to play after an 11-game suspension. There are 3 more games for backup Jacoby Brissett to negotiate before Watson can return and the next test is against the team he played for last season, the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have a superior record at 6-3 but can’t afford to ease up with the Bills and Jets above them in the AFC standings heading into this week. Their wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle is arguably the best in the league, but their last 3 wins over lesser teams have not been as dominant as they would have wanted. Our NFL expert has picks, predictions and best bets for this key AFC matchup at Hard Rock Stadium (1:00pm ET, CBS).
Be sure not to miss any of our NFL picks for Week 10 — we’re 76-58-3 on spreads this season (+21.2 units!)
NFL Week 10 Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins expert predictions
The big question about the Browns coming into this season was whether their offense could be good enough with Brissett at quarterback to keep their playoff hopes alive until Watson was eligible to play. As it turned out, the offensive has been absolutely fine, scoring 25 points per game (to Miami’s 23.7), while defensive meltdowns cost them early wins over the Jets and Falcons and have left them with an uphill fight. The good news is that the light seemed to have gone on for the defense in a narrow loss to the Ravens and the huge win over the Bengals, so the Browns return from their bye with players coming back after injuries and renewed hope.
The Dolphins have been an exciting team to watch under Mike McDaniel (who was the Browns’ WRs coach in 2014) and they are a threat to score on any play with Hill and Waddle on the field. The Dolphins made a 3-0 start before being rocked by successive losses to the Bengals, Jets and Vikings. Wins over the Steelers, Lions and Bears since have come by just 6, 4 and 3 points, though, and Miami won’t be taking the challenge of the Browns lightly.
Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins spread, odds & betting lines
Point spread: Browns +3.5, Dolphins -3.5
Total points over/under: 49.5
Money Line odds: Browns +155, Dolphins -174
NFL Week 10 Promo Codes
- BetMGM Promo Code: Bet $10 Win $200 if either NFL Team scores a TD
- DraftKings Promo Code: Bet $5+ On Any NFL Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins
- FanDuel Promo Code: No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000 on NFL
- Caesars Promo Code: Up To $1,250 Back On Your First Bet + 1000 Tier Credits + 1000 Reward Credits®
- PointsBet Promo Code: Get 4x $200 Second-Chance Bets For The NFL
Find all the latest Sportsbook Promo Codes and Bonuses for NFL Week 10, including sportsbooks live in your state.
Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins expert picks
We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Browns and Dolphins.
Browns vs Dolphins point spread pick: Browns +3.5 (-107)
It’s a Jacoby Brissett revenge game as the Cleveland Browns travel south to take on the Miami Dolphins. The Browns are coming off their bye week and will be looking to keep the momentum going from their Week 8 win over the Bengals that snapped a 4-game skid. For a few reasons, I think they’ll be able to do so. Miami has struggled to stop the run, and it got so bad last week that Chicago’s Justin Fields set the all-time record for rushing yards by a quarterback against them. As such, I expect Browns RB Nick Chubb to have a big day. Chubb has been averaging a ridiculous 5.6 yards per carry this season and has rushed for at least 87 yards in all but one game. Cleveland’s record says 3-5, but it could easily be a lot better. Four of their 5 losses this season have come by 3 or fewer points, so I feel great about being able to get more than a field goal for this game.
Tua Tagovailoa’s numbers recently look great, but the Dolphins have been playing a ton of weak defenses. Tagovailoa’s 3 starts since returning from injury have come against the Steelers, Lions and Bears. Not exactly a murderer’s row. Right before this weak stretch in the schedule, the Dolphins had lost 3 straight. And their defense has mostly looked terrible this season. It also can’t hurt that the Browns have won both times they’ve been coming off their bye with Kevin Stefanski as head coach.
Be sure to check out our full Browns vs Dolphins predictions
Browns vs Dolphins Over/Under totals pick: Over 49.5 (-107)
The over also makes a lot of sense. The Miami secondary is really banged up and they haven’t been able to stop anybody. In 5 of their past 6 games, they’ve given up at least 24 points. The only time they didn’t give up 24+ points in that span was when they played the Steelers, and Kenny Pickett was making his second career start in a primetime game. Justin Fields put up historic numbers on Miami’s defense in Week 9, and the week before that, they gave up 27 points to Jared Goff and the Lions.
On the flip side, Tua Tagovailoa has been able to light it up thanks to his new weapons, and Miami has scored 66 points across the last 2 contests. Tagovailoa has 684 yards, 6 touchdowns and no interceptions in those games. The Browns’ defense has been a big disappointment overall this season, and they’ve played in plenty of shootouts.
Lock in our NFL Best Bets — we’re 34-19 this season (+36.45 units!)
Read our other NFL predictions for Week 10:
- Seahawks vs Buccaneers predictions
- Saints vs Steelers predictions
- Vikings vs Bills predictions
- Cowboys vs Packers predictions
Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins expert predictions
Be sure to check out all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and NFL Best Bets from the rest of the Week 10 action.
Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.
