Liam Flin
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We are at the halfway point in the Champions League quarterfinals with only half of the 8 teams having scored goals in the first legs, which brought us 4 shutout wins. Last week’s losing teams have varying chances of turning around their matchups this week, with Manchester City looking to have the firmest grasp on a semifinal place after a 3-0 home win over Bayern Munich.
Tuesday’s slate brings us a battle of the tournament’s last two champions as Chelsea tries to turn around a 2-0 deficit to Real Madrid at Stamford Bridge in London, plus an all-Italian affair between Serie A leaders Napoli and AC Milan, which holds a 1-0 lead from the first game.
We’ve picked out our best bets for each of those matchups below and you can also read our picks for this afternoon’s Champions League soccer games in our soccer predictions. Both Tuesday’s games kick off at 3:oo pm ET and can be viewed on Paramount+. Odds shown are available at the time of publishing.
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Real Madrid vs Chelsea best bet: Real Madrid ML (+150)
Chelsea made a promising start to last week’s Champions League quarterfinal in Madrid, but slipped to a 2-0 loss in Spain and should now find it hard to turn things around when the teams meet again at Stamford Bridge for the second leg. Karim Benzema and Marco Asensio scored Madrid’s goals with Chelsea having only 10 men on the field for the second one after defender Ben Chilwell was sent off.
The Blues recently fired manager Graham Potter after a season in which their big spending has not achieved the expected results and interim coach Frank Lampard has lost his first 3 games after Saturday’s 2-1 home EPL defeat to Brighton. A repeat of last week’s result would be no surprise, and Madrid has produced some impressive performances on the road this year, crushing Liverpool 5-2 at Anfield in the last 16 of this competition and cruising to a 4-0 win at Barcelona in the Copa del Rey earlier this month. Real knows what it takes to win this kind of game and has won 7 of its 9 games in this season’s Champions League.
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Napoli vs AC Milan best bet: Napoli ML (-133)
Milan beat Napoli 1-0 in the first leg of their all-Italian Champions League quarterfinal last week, but Napoli has been the dominant team in Serie A this season — leading Lazio by 14 points with 4th-placed Milan 22 points behind — and the home team should win this second-leg matchup. Milan has won only 2 of its last 8 games and Napoli has been hard to beat at the Diego Maradona Stadium this season, winning 11 of 14 league games there.
The Serie A leaders will also get a huge boost if striker Victor Osimhen is able to return to the team for this game after missing the first leg due to injury and his team has a great chance of winning this home leg.
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