Filip Tomic
The season is on the line for the Miami Heat on Monday as they host the Ceveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of their 1st Round series. Will the Cavs move on or can Miami live to fight another day? I’ve prepared a +370 odds Same Game Parlay for the action. Get predictions on the side and total for all NBA postseason games on our NBA Predictions page, now let’s dive into my Cavaliers vs Heat Game 4 bet!
CLE Cavaliers -8.5 (-112)
Donovan Mitchell to Score 30+ Points (+200)
Same Game Parlay odds: +370
CLE Cavaliers -8.5 (-112)
With a comfortable 3-0 lead heading into Game 4 on Monday, the Cavaliers have just one thing on their mind and that is to close this thing out and not give the Heat any life. A 37-point lead in Game 3 without Darius Garland and a mediocre game from Donovan Mitchell showed just how much of a talent disparity there is in this series. Through 3 games the Cavs are shooting over 50% from the field and are outrebounding the Heat by 6 bords per game. All the 50-50 plays also seem to go Cleveland’s way, the level of hustle displayed by this team hasn’t been matched by their opponent. Despite traditionally playing well vs Cleveland at home (15 wins in last 20 meetings at Kaseya Center) we didn’t see any of that in Saturday’s clash.
The Heat struggled on offense, this series exposed just how limited they are against top-tier defenses. Bam Adebayo is the only player that deserved a pass as he went for 22 points and 9 rebounds in the loss, for most of those points he had to work very hard and create by himself. It’s not often you see Bam connect on 4 threes in a game, the defense of Cleveland has been hard to penetrate, things just aren’t looking promising ahead of Game 4 in South Beach. Cleveland looks to join their counterpart from the Western Conference OKC as the 2nd team to advance to the 2nd round here and they have every right to hope for that. Nothing in this series so far has indicated to me Miami can avoid elimination here. Even without their 2nd best player and main playmaker Garland the Cavaliers destroyed Miami in Game 3, I expect a similar outcome in Monday’s game. Take the Cavs to cover.
Check out our Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Predictions
Donovan Mitchell to Score 30+ Points (+200)
A fairly mediocre output in Game 3 by Mitchell didn’t disrupt the chemistry of the Cavaliers on offense, they were able to score a series high 124 points. The 13 points scored by Mitchell were a low for the series, he had exactly 30 in both games in Cleveland earlier in the series. With the expectation of Game 4 being slightly closer than the 37-point demolition we saw in Game 3, Mitchell might have to do extra work on offense again. In head-to-head meetings vs Miami he’s at 26.8 points per game in the last 8 games, he’s cleared this line 4 times so we’re getting +200 odds for a bet that cashes 50% of the time and I’m all over that. Cleveland is shooting 43% from three through 3 games, plus they’re also getting whatever they want inside the paint. In Saturday’s match-up they scored 60 points from close range, the Heat defense just isn’t up to the task in this series. Let’s hope Mitchell can catch fire early here.
