Filip Tomic
It’s the 4th and final regular-season meeting between the 2 top teams in the Eastern Conference as the Cavaliers and Celtics go at it. Tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET on ESPN as part of their doubleheader, with Clippers vs Lakers taking over at 10:00 pm ET. I’ve prepared a Cavaliers vs Celtics Same Game Parlay at +378 odds to add some extra excitement. You can see our NBA picks on the side and total for tonight’s 10-game slate, but for now, let’s dive into our SGP.
Jayson Tatum to record 8+ rebounds (-166)
Kristaps Porzingis 2+ made threes (-250)
Donovan Mitchell to score 25+ points (-180)
Evan Mobley to record 8+ rebounds (-230)
Cavaliers vs Celtics Same Game Parlay odds: +378
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Jayson Tatum to record 8+ rebounds (-166)
After 4 consecutive games of clearing this line, Jayson Tatum has cooled off a bit in his last 2 games and as a result the Celtics went 1-1 against the Raptors and Pistons. With Jaylen Brown coming back into the lineup, Tatum can now focus just on scoring and getting rebounds, which is what he does best. Over the last 10 meetings with the Cavaliers, Tatum has recorded double-digit rebounds 7 times, for an average of exactly 10 per game during this stretch.
We’ve seen quite a bit of defense played in the last 2 meetings between the 2 teams, and this will be a good test for them both to see where they are at as we head into March. After a disappointing loss at Detroit, I’m looking at Tatum to set the tone defensively and lead the way as the C’s bounce back at home to kickstart our Cavaliers vs Celtics Same Game Parlay.
Kristaps Porzingis 2+ made threes (-250)
It looks like the mini stretch of 3 straight games with just 1 three scored is a thing of the past for Kristaps Porzingis. He has successfully bounced back with 4 games in a row with a pair of triples scored, improving his record of at least 2 threes scored in 12 of his last 15 games. The NBA’s best scoring 3rd option will once again be a threat to the Cavaliers, who haven’t had the best of times guarding the three-ball this season. Opponents are making 35.9% of their attempts against them, which ranks the Cavs just 17th in the NBA. KP has been an unsolvable enigma for Boston – he’s averaging 1.9 threes per game over the last 10 meetings — and I’m confident he can knock down 2 threes for the 4th straight game here.
Donovan Mitchell to score 25+ points (-180)
As we get closer to the postseason, Donovan Mitchell will have to ramp up his production with his workload likely to increase in the playoffs. Mitchell had only 11 points in the win over Orlando, but that’s only because he logged 23 minutes in a blowout win. Prior to that, he had a streak of 3 games in a row with at least 25 points. He’s averaging 24.1 per game over his last 10 outings while shooting 48% from the field and almost 38% from downtown.
Mitchell is one of those players who is always extra motivated when going up against stronger competition. His track record against the Celtics backs this up – in the last 10 meetings he’s averaging a whopping 34 points per game and he has also cleared this line in every single one of those games. The Cavaliers are in a good groove right now and Mitchell is one of the main reasons for that, so expect him to have his way with Boston’s defense here.
Evan Mobley to record 8+ rebounds (-230)
February has been very kind to Evan Mobley as he has upped his rebounding average to 9.9 per game, which is an increase of 0.6 compared to his season average. He’s on quite the run right now, having cleared this line in 6 straight games. We just saw him grab 13 rebounds for the 2nd time in 4 games the other night against Memphis — not bad for the 2nd-highest rebounding option on the team.
Mobley has also had his way in head-to-head meetings with the Celtics, averaging 9.6 per game in the last 10. During this stretch, he’s cleared this line in 7 of 10 games played. Entering Friday’s game the Celtics rank only 18th in opponent rebounds per game, which should allow Mobley to get to his season average here. In his last 3 visits to TD Garden, he has recorded 13, 11 and 10 rebounds, and I like him to put up similar numbers here to hopefully bring home our Cavaliers vs Celtics Same Game Parlay.
