Ricky Dimon
I’m 2-0 so far on my MLB Same Game Parlays in 2025 after cashing at +481 and +632 for the 2 Tokyo Series showdowns between the Dodgers and Cubs. Let’s keep the momentum going with Sunday Night Baseball to cap of week 2 of the season. It features the Boston Red Sox hosting the St. Louis Cardinals at Fenway Park, with both teams having gotten off to a decent start (Boston is 4-4, St. Louis is 4-3).
With the game set for 7:00 pm ET on ESPN, it’s time to break down my SGP. Also be sure to check out our full Cardinals vs Red Sox prediction.
Red Sox ML (-122)
Rafael Devers to record an RBI (+140)
Masyn Winn to get a hit (-180)
Parlay odds: +439
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Rafael Devers driving in a run would obviously work well with a Boston win. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing St. Louis shortstop Masyn Winn getting a hit, but even if he does there is no reason why the home team can’t take care of business. Let’s break down all of the SGP legs.
Red Sox ML (-122)
This is the second game of a double-header after Saturday’s contest got rained out. The Red Sox were undecided on their starting pitcher for the nightcap until earlier this afternoon, when it was announced that 25-year-old right-hander Hunter Dobbins would make his MLB debut. Dobbins was the franchise’s Minor League Pitcher of the Year in 2024, compiling a 3.08 ERA in 125.2 innings across Double-A and Triple-A. If he can produce even a mediocre performance on Sunday, it should be enough for Boston to prevail. After all, the Red Sox have a favorable matchup on their hands against St. Louis righty Miles Mikolas. The 36-year-old was saddled with a 4.78 ERA in 2023 and a 5.35 mark in 2024, so the decline is real. Playing at home in what should be an ethusiastic Sunday night setting, Boston has a great chance to get the job done.
Rafael Devers to record an RBI (+140)
Nobody in Boston’s lineup has been more successful against Mikolas than Devers. The sample size isn’t huge, but the star third baseman is 3-for-5 lifetime with 2 home runs. Devers has not done much yet in 2025, but a meeting with Mikolas should be just what the doctor ordered. Part of the reason for Devers’ slow start may be that the Red Sox were on the road for their first 2 series. Last season he hit .301 at home and .247 on the road. In 2023: .279 at home, .262 on the road. In 2022: .323 at home, .272 on the road. In 2021: .291 at home, .268 on the road. You get the point.
Masyn Winn to get a hit (-180)
Winn has started to get on track in 2025. The 23-year-old delivered multi-hit performances on both Thursday and Friday prior to Saturday’s rainout. All 4 hits came against right-hander pitchers, so he should be fine against Hunter Dobbins. In Winn’s first full season, he batted .274 against RHPs compared to .253 against southpaws. Look for him to stay hot with at least 1 base knock on Sunday night.
