Caleb Wilfinger
We’ve got a rematch of Super Bowl 57 on our hands when the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles meet for the second time in 3 seasons in Super Bowl 59. Their battle for the Lombardi Trophy back in 2023 was a thriller, with Kansas City emerging with a slim 38-35 victory. With such a high-scoring affair last time, there’s reason to believe that a variety of players are live to find the end zone for both teams. With the Super Bowl set for February 9 at 6:30 pm ET on FOX, it’s time to take a look at my best bets in the first and last touchdown scorer market, including a longshot at +2100 odds! You can also find out all of our NFL picks and Chiefs vs Eagles predictions for the Super Bowl, including best bets, props and a Same Game Parlay.
If you’re looking for some Super Bowl novelty prop bets, check out our Coin Toss prediction, National Anthem pick and a Gatorade Shower best bet at +240 odds!
Super Bowl 59 first touchdown scorer pick: Jalen Hurts (+650)
Odds widely available at time of publishing.
Of all of the players on either team, Jalen Hurts at this price is as close to a must-bet as I can find in this market. After all, Hurts has tallied 14 rushing touchdowns during the regular season and already has 4 through 2 playoff games – including a first-touchdown winner against the Rams in the Divisional Round. Philadelphia often turns to its quarterback to find the end zone via the tush push near the goal line, and it’s entirely possible that the Eagles march the ball inside the 5-yard line on the game’s opening drive and punch in an early score.
Hurts had 3 rushing TDs in Super Bowl 57 against Kansas City, including the game’s first touchdown at the 10-minute mark in the opening quarter. At this price, it’s hard to ignore the value we’re getting on the Eagles quarterback in this one.
Find out our best Chiefs player prop bets and Eagles player prop picks for Super Bowl 59
Super Bowl 59 last touchdown scorer pick: Patrick Mahomes (+2100)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
I generally try to hone in on a larger-odds bet for this market, but it was hard for me to target an Eagles player considering that Hurts is the most logical pick on the board for Philadelphia. Instead, I’m going to target a Chiefs player and focus on Patrick Mahomes’ ability to use his legs in the biggest moments to get the job done. Time and again, Mahomes has relied on his legs in these Super Bowl games, and we saw him pick up 66 yards on 9 carries against the 49ers in Super Bowl 58.
Back in 2023 against this same Eagles team, Mahomes ripped off a massive run on the game’s final drive to set up Kansas City in position to win in the red zone. Just last week, we saw him take matters into his own hands in the red zone to score the Chiefs’ final touchdown of the AFC Championship game from 10 yards out. It wouldn’t surprise me if Kansas City turned to its quarterback to make a play with his legs in the final minutes of a close game yet again.
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