Germantas Kneita
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I am back for a second straight night of player props and tonight is a big one, with a monster 11-game NBA slate ahead of us. Exciting games to look forward to like the Suns taking on the surging Knicks who will look to win their 10th straight game. The Clippers will also visit the Pelicans who will be desperate for a win to keep their play in chances alive.
As always, be sure to check out our full game previews on the side and total for all of those matchups. And now, let’s take a look at some of the top player prop selections for tonight’s action.
Julius Randle over 2.5 threes (+112)
Julius Randle has been a scoring machine of late. He is averaging 29 points per game over the last 10, including a scorching 44 percent from the three-point line. He has been incredible in his last two games shooting from deep, making five of seven against the Raptors and six of eight against the Hawks. Randle has been consistent with his shot attempts too over the Knicks’ winning streak, taking at least six shots from three-point range in each of his last eight games.
The Suns represent a good matchup for his shooting tonight. Because of his ability to cause damage in the paint, he is likely to draw the attention of Deandre Ayton. Ayton is not someone who is comfortable on the perimeter, and Joel Embiid has been able to exploit this recently. He knocked down three shots from deep against him less than a week ago and with Randle being this hot, expect the same from him.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Phoenix Suns vs. New York Knicks.
Buddy Hield over 19.5 points (-102)
I picked Buddy Hield to get buckets last night and he delivered, dropping 25 points against the Warriors. He did most of his damage from deep, knocking down six of eight shots from three. He should get the chance to be equally efficient tonight against the Mavericks, who rank 21st in opponent three-point percentage over the last 10 games.
The whole of the Mavericks’ starting five is listed as questionable tonight so he may avoid having to go up against the likes of Josh Richardson. And with De’Aaron Fox still out, expect Hield to keep getting his opportunities. In this Kings team without Fox, Hield should easily and consistently be a 20 point per game scorer.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings.
Mason Plumlee over 19.5 points + rebounds (-111)
There is no doubt that Clint Capela and the Atlanta Hawks do not represent the easiest matchups for Mason Plumlee, but he has been in terrific form. He has been rested every other game of late but that has led to two recent performances where he has combined for 29 and 38 points and rebounds, respectively. In his last game against the Pacers, he would have cleared this over on rebounds alone.
With Capela not being a big that can stretch the floor, it does help opposing big men to get good rebounding numbers against him, as they can stay and roam the paint. Recently Nerlens Noel, Myles Turner, and Giannis Antetokounmpo all managed to get double-digit boards against Capela. And with Plumlee recording 10 or more points in four of his last five games, he should be able to do enough offensively here too.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons.
Kyle Lowry over 5.5 rebounds (+116)
This one is simply based on recent trends, as Kyle Lowry has managed to record seven rebounds in each of his last three games. It seems like a good value bet to make here for him to do more of the same. Jarrett Allen is likely to be a force on the glass tonight and the Raptors are probably going to emphasise the need for the whole team to rebound the ball here and help out Khem Birch. The Cavaliers also do not shoot well from range, ranking just 18th in three-point percentage over the last 10 games. That should lead to several long rebounding opportunities for Lowry tonight.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors.
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