Andrew Ortenberg
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We’ve got a big ten-game slate for Thursday’s NHL action, and that means there are plenty of opportunities for value. Right now we’re going to be focusing on player props, bringing you a few of our favorite props. Before you bet these, make sure you also check out our picks on the side and total for every game. We’ve been having a great NHL season so far, let’s keep it going on Thursday.
Sebastian Aho to score 2+ points (+255)
For a bet to be profitable at +255 odds, it needs to cash 28.2 percent of the time. Aho has scored multiple points in seven of his 22 games this season, good for a 32 percent clip, so just blindly I think there’s decent value. But when you factor in the matchup, I like it a lot. Carolina is a massive favorite in this game (-320 on the money line), so they should have plenty of scoring chances. After a brief dip the Hurricanes’ offense has gotten back on track, with at least three goals in three straight games. I think they get at least four here.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Detroit Red Wings vs. Carolina Hurricanes.
James van Riemsdyk to score a goal (+220)
Getting +220 seems like a steal here considering van Riemsdyk has ten goals in only 19 games this year. He’s been particularly hot recently, with goals in five of his last eight games, and he only needs to have a 31.3 percent chance of scoring here for this bet to be profitable. Philly has scored at least three goals in 10 of their last 13 games, and now they’re playing in one that has a total of 6.5 and is expected to be a shootout. We like the Flyers on the puck line in this spot, and obviously van Riemsdyk scoring correlates heavily with that.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins.
Elias Pettersson to score a point (-177)
Pettersson has really been producing lately, more than he was early in the year, but I don’t think oddsmakers have adjusted enough yet. Especially considering this game also has a total of 6.5, so there should be a lot of action. Pettersson has scored at least one point in 11 of his past 14 games, so even if this wasn’t expected to be a shootout, I would still like this play. He’s been scoring at a nearly 80 percent clip the past couple of weeks, and -177 is an implied win probability of only 64 percent.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks.
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