Mark Lammey
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Saturday in the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs sees three matchups that are each sitting with 3-2 series scores. It will also be the road teams in each contest that have the ability to advance to the second round. The New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils series has been as volatile as it gets, so we’re focused on the other 2 matchups for our NHL player props. I’m focused on one skater looking to advance and another that is looking to keep his team alive, so let’s dive into the breakdown.
Along with our player props, be sure to check out all of our NHL picks for today’s action.
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William Nylander, TOR, Over 0.5 points (-160)
The Toronto Maple Leafs had the opportunity to advance to the second round for the first time since 2004 on home ice Thursday night. However, the Tampa Bay Lightning aren’t going down without a fight, and now they have to try again on the road. They have a star-studded lineup, which includes Nylander. To make sure you have all our favorite options, let’s go through our thought process. Firstly, for a bit of a bigger risk, Nylander’s goal prop was a consideration; he found the back of the net in all 3 regular season games against the Lightning.
Then, we looked at Ryan O’Reilly’s point prop to keep things a bit safer. Ultimately, we’re willing to pay the price for Nylander’s overall point prop. This is one that is listed at around -220 most nights, if not set at 1.5. He’s an elite goal-scorer, but he also skates alongside another in Auston Matthews. That was seen with Nylander’s 3 assists in Game 4. Therefore, this prop has more value than it may seem on the surface. Even if the Leafs aren’t able to advance tonight, we’re only focused on Nylander recording another point in this series.
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Viktor Arvidsson, LA, Over 0.5 points (-140)
Our NHL player props for these Stanley Cup playoffs have been quite strong so far, and it all began on the first night with this exact prop. We targeted Arvidsson of the Los Angeles Kings to continue his success against the Edmonton Oilers, and he came through. With his team now on the brink of elimination, we’re willing to trust him again. Anytime there’s an Oilers game on the board, fans immediately think of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but the Kings can give them fits. Specifically, Arvidsson has had a great year against them.
In their 4 regular matchups, he recorded at least a point in 3 of them, and multiple points in 2 of those 3. Similarly, in this series, he’s had 5 points across the 5 points. That includes at least a point in each of the games in Los Angeles; that is where this Game 6 will be. In the past, Arvidsson was more a volume shooter. However, now skating alongside Trevor Moore, he has another goal-scorer to send assists to. With this prop covering either way he ends up contributing, there is great value. The Oilers may ultimately prove to be the better team in the series, but Arvidsson can close out the series helping us in the same way he did in the opener.
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