Ryan Hodges
The 2025 NHL postseason has already delivered in a big way. Hockey fans have been treated to close games, blowouts, high scoring games, low scoring games, and physical games among some great action. It’s a great time of year that helps make a Tuesday a bit more bearable. Tonight’s slate is another fantastic one for fans with 4 games beginning at 6PM ET and going all through the night. If you are able to tune in and want to make a wager or two, here are a few picks we like both individually and as part of a +633 parlay.
Today’s NHL parlay is below, but be sure to check out all of our NHL picks for tonight’s action as well.
Senators vs Maple Leafs game total over 5.5 (-120)
Lightning win (-115)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+114)
Tuesday NHL Playoff Parlay odds: +633
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Senators vs Maple Leafs game total over 5.5 (-120)
The Leafs dominated Game 1 of this series to the tune of a 6-2 win. That final made it now the 6th consecutive over in Senators games, and was the 5th time in 6 games the Maple Leafs have scored 4+ goals. Opponents mixed in those 4+ goal performances were Tampa, Carolina, and now Ottawa. Lately, it has not mattered whether the Leafs are playing a good or bad teams, or on the road or at home. They are scoring in bunches which bodes well for another game total over. Toronto ranked top 10 both goals scored and power play percentage this year, and are fresh off of a 6-goal performance where they appear to be clicking on all cylinders. If they hold even close to recent production, they will not leave much left for Ottawa to help bring this game over the total.
The results in Game 1 reinforced a bit of a recent volatility trend for Ottawa. With that loss, they are now 3-2-1 in their last 6 games but with a -2 goal differential. During that span, the Senators scored 23 goals and allowed 25 goals for an average of 3.83 goals scored per game and 4.33 goals allowed per game. While they will likely play a more clean game on Tuesday, if they want to have any chance of staying in this series, their volatility favors the over. Ottawa’s discipline and goal prevention has struggled, but they also have the offensive talent to keep up in a high scoring game. Look for another higher total in this one.
Lightning win (-115)
There is a very thin margin of error between these extremely familiar state and division rivals. In a game with such a thin margin of error, the Lightning look to be the better play. The Panthers ended the season on a tough stretch of 3 wins in their final 10 games, as well as 6 consecutive losses on the road. Included in both of those streaks was a 5-1 loss to the Lightning last week. While this Panthers team can beat anyone at anytime, as evident by their last 2 Stanley Cup Final runs, it will be tougher to flip the switch in this one given their poor recent form and sustained injuries.
The story is a bit different for Tampa. They enter the playoffs 7-2-3 in their last 12 games. Their strong end to the regular season only reinforced why they are one of the favorites coming into the playoffs. The Lightning were one of three teams to finish ranked in the top 5 in the NHL in both goals scored and goals allowed per game. This is a very complete team that is healthier, in better form, and will be at home where they were 29-8-4 including 24-17 against the spread. That home record was good for 4th best in the league this year. This has the makings of a long series. But this first game looks better for Tampa.
Golden Knights -1.5 (+114)
The Golden Knights, to no surprise, looked great in Game 1. This is a team that is just 2 seasons removed from winning the Stanley Cup, and look like they could be well on their way back to the Finals. The talent, depth, and Stanley Cup experience of Vegas gives them an advantage over most teams in the league. Minnesota is no exception. Same as the Lightning, the Golden Knights were another one of three teams in the NHL to rank top 5 in both goals scored and goals allowed per game. Wire to wire, they were one of the best teams in the NHL as they finished second in the West and third in the league standings.
Sunday’s Game 1 win gave the Golden Knights their 4th win over the Wild in as many matchups in the 2024-25 season. Vegas’ average win over Minnesota across those 4 games was by 2.5 goals. Those games are part of 6 straight Minnesota losses head to head, as well as just 1 win in their last 7 on the road in Vegas. The Wild have now dropped 7 out of their last 8 games on the road which is a stark difference from the Golden Knights’ 11 wins in their last 14 at home. The Golden Knights are the better, deeper team in better form, with stronger head to head numbers, and home ice-advantage. They have a good chance to take care of business again in Game 2.
