NFL Picks

Get free expert NFL picks for every game of the 2024-25 season, helping you find key betting trends and much more in our expert NFL picks this week.

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Point Spread (1)Game Totals (1)

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Pickswise Experts (2)

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Point Spread Pick

WAS Commanders +3.5(-110)

Reasoning

The Sunday night primetime matchup on Super Wild Card Weekend pits the Washington Commanders against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Just like last year, Tampa Bay took the back door into the playoffs by winning the moribund NFC South. Unlike last year, the Bucs don’t get to face an opponent that is spiraling out of control — as the Philadelphia Eagles were 12 months ago. This time around it’s a much different beast from the NFC East. The Commanders lost at Tampa Bay in Week 1 of the regular season, but this is an entirely different football team now. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has emerged as one of the most dynamic signal-callers in the league and he has led Washington to 5 straight wins heading into the playoffs — including 1 over the NFC East champion Eagles. 4 of the Commanders’ 5 setbacks in their 12-5 record have come against playoff teams.

It is true that the Bucs are playing well (6-1 record in their last 7 games), but — after getting swept by the Atlanta Falcons — they needed a second-half collapse by Atlanta to steal the worst division in football. As for their 6-1 stretch, enthusiasm surrounding it should be tempered. They own just 1 win over a playoff opponent (the Los Angeles Chargers) during this stretch and their loss came to an atrocious Dallas Cowboys squad. In a must-win situation in Week 18, Tampa Bay came relatively close to being upset by the New Orleans Saints — who were without question one of the worst teams in the NFL down the stretch, and really dating all the way back to Week 3. Baker Mayfield is balling, but there isn’t a lot to like about this team other than Mayfield and Mike Evans. There is no way I’m giving more than a field goal to the Commanders, who have a good chance to also win outright.

Commanders vs Buccaneers prediction: Commanders +3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.

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Game Totals Pick

Over 50.5(-110)

Reasoning

Only the top-seeded Detroit Lions scored more points than Washington and Tampa Bay in the NFC during the regular season. Both offenses have been especially hot of late. Mayfield has played at an MVP level ever since his team’s Week 11 bye, leading the Bucs to point totals of 30, 26, 28, 40, 24, 48 and 27 points during their 6-1 surge. The Commanders have been even more of a juggernaut on that side of the ball. Jayden Daniels and company have scored 42, 20, 36, 30 and 23 points (the latter in a meaningless game with many starters not playing) during their 5-game winning streak.

Neither defense seems equipped to slow down the red-hot offense that it will be facing on Sunday night. Washington surrendered 25 touchdowns through the air while making only 7 interceptions (tied for the 4th-fewest in the league) during the regular season. Tampa Bay allowed 27 passing TDs and also recorded a mere 7 picks while ranking 29th in the NFL against the pass. Anything short of an epic QB battle between Daniels and Mayfield would be a disappointment for the casual viewer. The Over is the way to play this contest.

Commanders vs Buccaneers prediction: Over 50.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 52.

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Ricky Dimon

Vote on who will cover the spread!

NFL Video

Why Pickswise Is The Home Of The Best Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2024 Season

There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL Betting is easily the most popular in North American amongst bettors. Our expert handicappers have decades of industry experience where they have honed in on their craft to provide the best insight, analysis, and value picks here at Pickswise. All of our NFL picks are completely free, including our picks straight up, and against the spread.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, NFL Parlays, NFL Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick. Here at Pickswise, we’ll have something for everyone with our team of handicappers leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game in the 2024 NFL season.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect.

For Example

Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.

A fun stat worth noting is that the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with total wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing insight into the game alongside expert NFL picks.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks.

2024-25 NFL Schedule

This will be the 105th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on Thursday, September 5, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs, who take on the Baltimore Ravens. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 5, 2025 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 11th & 12th of January 2025. Super Bowl LIX is scheduled for February 9, 2025, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, the home of the New Orleans Saints.

NFL Picks This Week

You can find our latest NFL picks by week, all season long below:

Weekly NFL Picks
NFL Week 1 Picks	NFL Week 2 Picks
NFL Week 3 Picks	NFL Week 4 Picks
NFL Week 5 Picks	NFL Week 6 Picks
NFL Week 7 Picks	NFL Week 8 Picks
NFL Week 9 Picks	NFL Week 10 Picks
NFL Week 11 Picks	NFL Week 12 Picks
NFL Week 13 Picks	NFL Week 14 Picks
NFL Week 15 Picks	NFL Week 16 Picks
NFL Week 17 Picks	NFL Week 18 Picks
NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks
NFL Divisional Round Picks
NFL Conference Championship Picks

NFL Football Picks

Our NFL Football picks will be for every game throughout the regular season, with primetime games and the top matchups each week getting additional expert coverage which will extend to every playoff game. These NFL Football picks will come alongside analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting and our confidence rating in those picks. You can also head to our NFL Football Best Bets page for the top plays on the week. Or looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of coverage and expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team.

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We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

Andrew Wilsher, Managing Editor of Pickswise

Statistical Approach to NFL Picks

It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

NFL Picks FAQs

How Do You Pick Against The Spread In The NFL?

To bet against the spread in the NFL you are either betting the favorite to win by x number of points or the underdog to win, or lose by fewer than x points. For example the Chiefs -7 points or the Panthers +7 points.

What Is The Best Website For NFL Picks Against The Spread?

Pickswise is the best website to get free expert NFL picks against the spread. Our handicappers provide free insight, analysis, and data to back up which way they’re siding against the spread for every NFL game.

Where Is The Best Place To Get NFL Picks?

Pickswise is the best place to get free expert NFL picks. We have the best cappers and NFL picks on the market and you can get all of our NFL picks for free! every week. Each pick is meticulously researched by an experienced NFL handicapper, using our own data, custom-built models, and analytical methods.