Best NFL Week 16 Player Props And Predictions: Can Chase Brown carry a heavy workload?

Chase Brown of the Cincinnati Bengals
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Josh Gayle

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NFL player props expert for Pickswise. I've been handicapping NBA, MLB and NFL player props for 4 years and have built up a following of more than 60,000 people on X. Now I'm here to help you bet better all season long!
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NFL Week 16 is upon us and we’re just 2 weeks away from reaching the end of the regular season. Thursday Night Football saw the Chargers leapfrog the Broncos in the AFC West standings and the Wild Card seeding following a 34-27 victory, and we should see even more matchups with playoff ramifications on Sunday, including Eagles vs Commanders and Vikings vs Seahawks.

I have picked out my best NFL player prop bets from Sunday’s games, which you can find below as I target Bengals running back Chase Brown and Patriots quarterback Drake Maye. You can also find out the Pickswise team’s NFL picks on the side and total for every game in Week 16.

Chase Brown (CIN) over 17.5 rush attempts (-130)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

This is a bet I absolutely love. Chase Brown is becoming more and more trusted by this Bengals team. Last week we saw Brown tote the rock 25 times. Luckily, all we need is 18 here because asking for 25 consistently is asking for a lot. This Browns team is a good target. You may look at Chase Brown’s last game against Cleveland and note that he only had 15 handoffs. In that game, Cincinnati was facing Deshaun Watson.

Although Watson isn’t the same guy he once was in Houston, he is still capable of moving the chains and sustaining drives. On Sunday, the Browns will be starting Dorian Thompson-Robinson. DTR is a fun quarterback with his speed but is inaccurate. He is completing just 44% of his passes this year. Cleveland incompletions would be perfect here as it would stop the clock and give Brown and the Bengals more time to work with. I think Brown could run for 18+ attempts easy if they take control of this game how I believe they should. Let’s hope that Brown can help us make some green on Sunday!

Read our full Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions

Drake Maye (NE) over 19.5 pass completions (-130)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

This one is unlikely to be pretty. With that being said, I absolutely think this is the right play. Buffalo should lay a whooping on New England on Sunday. The Pats will therefore be forced to pass plenty in this one, especially later in the game. I don’t have fear of Maye getting pulled due to a blowout because he’s such a young guy and could use as much experience as possible. Maye has 20+ completions in 6 of 8 complete games he has played in. Buffalo is a nice target here as they allow the 6th-most completions among teams in the NFL. Weather shouldn’t be a factor here and the game script should be favorable. Just keep finding the open man underneath Drake!

Read our full New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills predictions

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