We’re nearing the end of the NFL regular season… isn’t that crazy! The last 15 weeks have flown by, but before we move onto the next step of the season, it’s time to focus on this exciting Week 16 slate. I’ve picked out 4 of my favorite player prop best bets from Sunday’s slate, so without further ado, let’s dive in!
Check out our NFL Week 16 NFL picks, too.
Sam LaPorta (DET) Over 4.5 Receptions (-122)
The rookie Sam LaPorta has become a staple in the Lions’ offense. Last week, LaPorta hauled in 5 catches for 56 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has become the go-to guy in the end zone through the air, and that has resulted in 9 touchdowns in his first year in the NFL. But his production isn’t just in the red zone either – he’s a threat no matter where the Lions are on the field. The tight end has at least 5 catches in 3 of the last 4 games and is averaging 5.07 catches on 7 targets per game this season. In order to cash the over on this line, LaPorta just needs to have an average game against the Vikings. The best part about this bet is that the Vikings are allowing 5.14 receptions per game to opposing tight ends, so everything points to LaPorta having at least 5 catches on Sunday.
DK Metcalf (SEA) Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Seattle’s young star has an excellent matchup against a weak Tennessee secondary. The Titans are allowing the 12th most passing yards per game and are especially susceptible to wide receivers. In fact, Tennessee is allowing the 5th most receiving yards and 2nd most receptions to receivers this year. Not many receivers have the size of DK Metcalf either, so it should be an especially hard matchup for the Titans. Plus, Metcalf has surpassed this number in 4 of the last 6 games.
Check out our Seattle Seahawks vs Tennessee Titans predictions
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
The star of the Indianapolis receiving corps this season has been Michael Pittman Jr. However, he had to leave last week’s game early after suffering a concussion on a brutal hit by Damontae Kazee. The good news is that Pittman seems to be recovering well and is on track to play Sunday afternoon. It seems the injury could be giving us a slight discount on his receiving line because this is a very low line for Pittman. He’s passed this line in 5 straight games, even last week when he left early due to injury. During the 5-game span, Pittman is averaging 8.2 receptions and 93.8 yards per game. Although Pittman is facing a respectable Atlanta secondary, he’s been getting enough targets in the last few games to be able to reach 70 yards.
Dak Prescott (DAL) Under 270.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
There is a big difference between Dak Prescott at home and on the road. In Dallas, Prescott averages 303 passing yards per game and the Cowboys are 7-0. However, on the road, Prescott averages 216.28 passing yards per game and that has led the Cowboys to a much worse 3-4 record. In those 7 road games, Prescott failed to reach 200 passing yards in 4 of the games. Last week in Buffalo, Prescott threw for only 134 yards, an interception and no touchdowns. He’s a completely different player away from home, and on Sunday, he will be facing an above-average secondary in Miami. The addition of Jalen Ramsey has made the Miami secondary a scary unit, and in the last 6 weeks, the Dolphins have limited opponents to 80, 327, 127, 130, 260, and 185 passing yards.
Check out our Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins predictions
