Welcome to Sunday! After an exciting Thanksgiving slate and a predictable AFC East matchup on Friday, we have a slightly smaller Sunday slate than normal. However, there are still plenty of player prop bets with value. I’ve chosen two best bets, both from the 4:00 pm ET window, for my favorite Week 12 player prop picks. So, let’s get right into them, and make sure to check out our NFL Week 12 predictions too.
Kyren Williams (LAR) Over 60.5 rushing yards (-113)
Take a breath Rams fans, he’s finally back. Kyren Williams was activated off the injured reserve and is expected to return this afternoon against a weak Cardinals defense that was run over by Devin Singletary last week. In Week 11, Singletary and the Texans took to the ground to expose the Cardinals, and it was incredibly successful. Singletary finished with 112 rushing yards and a touchdown on 22 carries. And remember, it wasn’t too long ago that Williams shredded the Arizona defense himself. On October 15, Williams rushed 20 times for 158 yards and a touchdown. He went over this mark in 2 of his last 3 games, so although he’s coming back from injury, this line is just too low.
Don’t miss our NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer best bets
Russell Wilson (DEN) under 187.5 passing yards (-113)
We’ve seen a resurgence of Russell Wilson in the last few weeks, and the doubters have been very quiet in that time. However, last week was the first time that he had gone over 200 passing yards in a game since October 1. His journey ahead gets harder as he has to face the best defense in the NFL this afternoon. Oddsmakers have listed his passing yards total a dozen or so short of 200, and in my opinion, that’s still too high. Let’s take a look at how quarterbacks have fared against the Cleveland defense in the last few weeks: 106 passing yards from Kenny Pickett, 223 from Lamar Jackson and 58 from Clayton Tune. Wilson will be under constant pressure and won’t have the luxury of time in the pocket, and for that reason, I’m expecting him to finish with around 160 passing yards.
Check out our Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos predictions
