Josh Gayle
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1u – Kenneth Walker (SEA) o23.5 Rec Yards (-120 @ MGM)
This is a bet that shouldn’t be available come kickoff on Sunday. Walker has hit this prop in in 6 straight games and he smashed this against San Francisco in their earlier matchup this year. Last time we saw Walker against this same 49ers defense it was a barrage of passes going his way. Walker had a season high 8 receptions against the Niners and that is no fluke. Seattle are near touchdown underdogs and will likely be in a passing game script. Walker is an elite playmaker with the ball in his hands so Seattle will have to get him in space in creative ways. Walker shouldn’t find much success in the ground game so i love him to help contribute in the pass game here. San Francisco allows the 8th most receiving yards to running backs in the NFL. 24 feels entirely too low as i would personally play this up to 29.5.
1u – Nick Chubb (CLE) o14.5 Rush Attempts (-115 @ MGM)
I’m a Nick Chubb guy. He has hit this prop in 2/3 games this year despite not getting a good run script. He ran 15 times last week in a game they got blown out and 16 times the week before in a game against the Ravens in which Cleveland needed a come from behind victory. Cleveland and New Orleans here are a near pickem. Chubb has the upside to cash in a negative script but if he finds himself playing with a lead this should hit with absolute ease. New Orleans has allowed the 13th most rush attempts to RB’s. We don’t even need Chubb to be efficient with his carries, we just need him to have high volume. I think Jameis Winston will keep Cleveland in a script where running should be viable. Nick Chubb should see 15 handoffs here and i LOVE this bet.
