The NFL is missing 3 of their most prolific offenses this weekend to bye weeks (Miami, Kansas City, Philadelphia), so we are forced to make due with the rest of the league. Five totals are all under 40 points (if you include SNF), but we do have a few premier matchups to look forward to: Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers, San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars, and Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens. Let’s look at a few player props, and check out our NFL Week 10 picks.
Drake London (ATL) over 45.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available on Bet365 Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
London missed last week against Minnesota, but had to like what he saw in Taylor Heinicke, throwing 38 times for 268 yards. London has hit this line in 5/7 games and gets an Arizona Cardinals defense allowing 13.27 yards per reception to opposing WR’s (8th most). Six WR1s have hit this line vs ARI this season, so let’s make London one more. 1U
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Aaron Jones (GB) over 12.5 rush attempts (-129)
Line available on Caesars Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Jones is coming off his largest workload of the season (20 rushes on 57% of the snaps). All sign point to Jones being the healthiest he’s been since Week 1. Matt Lafleaur said last week at practice he’s looked good and he’s ready to “cut him loose”. That resulted in the 20 carry performance against LAR. This week the opponent is much easier, and allows the 2nd most rush attempts per game to opposing RB’s (25.25) 2U
Chigoziem Okonkwo (TEN) over 29.5 receiving yards (-114)
Line available on DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Okonkwo saw all 3 of his catches in the last 3 minutes of Week 9’s TNF matchup and yet his receptions total has increased to 3.5 this week. His receiving line last week was 27.5/2.5 catches. My assumption is that Vrabel makes it a point to get in him involved earlier in the game this week and he finally gets back to being involved in the screen game. The Buccaneers are allowing 6.25 receptions per game to opposing TE’s (28th overall) and 59.5 yards per game to opposing TEs (26th). 1U
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