Andrew Ortenberg
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The Kansas City Chiefs will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Denver Broncos on Sunday night, and a win will mathematically clinch the division if the Raiders lose earlier in the day. Despite the fact that the Steelers are undefeated, the 10-1 Chiefs have been the most dominant team in the league for the second consecutive year and are deserving favorites to defend their Super Bowl title.
With the top seed in the AFC (and a wild-card weekend bye) on the line, the Chiefs can’t afford an unexpected late-season slip. These are our best player props for this week’s edition of Sunday Night Football.
Drew Lock Under 237.5 Passing Yards
In terms of who makes the playoffs, this game means very little to either team – the Chiefs will seal their spot and the Broncos won’t be playing past Week 17. While Kansas City still have the top seed to play for, many people will tune into the game simply to check out the Broncos’ quarterback situation a week after starting practice squad receiver Kendall Hinton when all their quarterbacks were on the Covid-19 list. Lock has surpassed 240 yards in his past five starts, but until earlier this week he wasn’t even sure he’d be cleared to play, and against a motivated Chiefs defense in primetime he’ll face a tough task.
Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
The Chiefs won 43-16 the last time these two teams met, but despite the scoreline, it was the Broncos who controlled the possession and ran more plays. Don’t expect a repeat of that on Sunday night. Denver’s offense has been abysmal lately (even putting aside their strange situation last week), and the Chiefs will have plenty of game clock with the football. Unless the game becomes so much of a blowout that Mahomes is taken out early, he should have no problem leading three touchdown drives against the Broncos.
Melvin Gordon Under 54.5 Rushing Yards
The Broncos had to resort to an offense based almost exclusively around the run last week, and even though the Saints had little time to change their defensive gameplan, they had no problem stopping the Denver ground game throughout all four quarters. Gordon got the ball 12 times but averaged less than three yards per rush. Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay give the Broncos other options in the backfield to go with. Lindsay is questionable, but if he plays (and even if he doesn’t), take the under on Gordon with all the confidence in the world.
Want more prop picks all throughout the 2020 NFL season? Be sure to check out our NFL props tab regularly!
