Germantas Kneita
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There are 4 games taking place in the NBA Playoffs on Wednesday night. The Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors are involved in the only series that is tied. In all of the other 3 series, the lower seeded team is on the brink of advancing to the next round. They are all just a single win away but find themselves playing on the road tonight. You can check out our NBA picks on the side and total for each of today’s games, but for now, let’s dive into my favorite NBA player prop bets for tonight.
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Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals (-115)
The series between the Knicks and the Cavaliers has been a defensive slugfest, and Donovan Mitchell has played his part in that so far. He has averaged 2 steals per game in the playoffs, hitting the over on this line in 3 of the 4 games. The Knicks have been mistake-prone so far, ranking 14th of all playoff teams in turnovers per game. Mitchell has also been recording more steals at home this season. In Cleveland, he manages 1.7 steals per game, as opposed to 1.2 on the road. With his wingspan and the perimeter-heavy attack from tonight’s visitors, he should be able to pick off the Knicks on a couple of occasions.
Gabe Vincent over 3.5 assists (+122)
Gabe Vincent has turned playmaker for the Miami Heat. Through the 4 games this series, he is averaging 4.8 assists per game. He is also coming into Game 5 after managing 8 in his last outing. With the Heat leaning heavily on Jimmy Butler for scoring, look for Vincent to play a bigger role in setting him up. He should have an easier matchup tonight too, with Jrue Holiday at times switching to guarding Butler. That should make Vincent a major threat in pick and rolls. With his shooting ability, the Bucks cannot afford to go under screens, allowing Vincent to get into the paint. He can dish the ball out from there, helping him rack up assists. The Bucks are 12th in opponent assists per game through the playoffs and Vincent should get his fair share of those tonight.
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Keegan Murray over 2.5 made threes (+110)
The Golden State Warriors have allowed the 12th-most opponent 3-point attempts this postseason. They do however have great wing defenders which has allowed them to shut down the likes of Kevin Huerter. As a result, look for the Kings to turn to bigger shooters like Keegan Murray. The rookie is coming into Game 5 after his best playoff performance so far. He made 5 of his 7 3-point attempts in that outing and should be able to build on that here. He is a 41.1% shooter from beyond the arc this season. After his recent showing, he should be a focal point of the Kings’ perimeter attack here. That is especially true since De’Aaron Fox has suffered a hand injury that could make it tougher for him to shoot. Murray should pick up more of the 3-point burden as a result.
Jaren Jackson Jr. 3+ blocks (-110)
Jaren Jackson Jr. had a bounce-back game defensively in Game 4. He was able to record 5 blocks, the second time in the series he has managed at least 3. Considering he had averaged 3 per game in the regular season, he should be well-positioned to maintain that form tonight. The Los Angeles Lakers have struggled for efficiency from the perimeter in the series, making just 31.5% of their attempts. As a result, look for them to work the ball more inside, trying to play to their strengths. That would put them within reach for Jackson Jr. to come over as the help defender. The Lakers forwards have failed to offer a consistent perimeter threat, which should allow the Defensive Player of the Year to roam freely defensively. That should turn into blocks for him tonight.
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