Filip Tomic
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It’s a rather busy night in the NBA with a total of 20 teams hitting the hardwood. ESPN will air the Bucks vs Cavaliers game at 7:30 pm ET while the showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Lakers gets started on ABC at 8:30 pm ET. I’ve prepared a 3-team NBA mega parlay for tonight’s action, while you can also read our NBA predictions for our full game previews.
Now let’s dive into my bet!
Cavaliers ML (+146)
Celtics -15.5 (-110)
MIN Timberwolves -12 (-110)
NBA parlay odds: +817
Cleveland Cavaliers ML over Milwaukee Bucks (+146)
Going to Paris and back didn’t have a negative effect on the Cavaliers — in fact, it was the opposite as they drained 20 threes in their 109-91 win over Chicago on Monday. Donovan Mitchell and company are rolling right now, winning their last 5 games, and revenge will be on their mind tonight as the Bucks come to town. Milwaukee beat Cleveland 119-111 in the first meeting of the season a little over 2 weeks ago.
The Cavs struggled from three-point land in that game, going just 6-for-43, but they’ve really picked it up offensively during this win streak, ranking 8th in offensive efficiency. Not only that, they’ve also had 2 games of 20+ threes and are averaging 17 makes per game. which could be massive against this leaky Bucks defense. We just saw the Sacramento Kings make 41.5% of their threes against Milwaukee the other day, opponents are shooting 36.6% from downtown against them in their last 3 outings. At 14-8 SU the Cavs are one of the more reliable home teams in the NBA this season, so I’ll be backing them to win at plus-money odds here.
Don’t miss our Mavericks vs Lakers Same Game Parlay for tonight’s game on ABC at +439 odds
Boston Celtics -15.5 over San Antonio Spurs (-110)
At 19-0 SU the Celtics are the only remaining undefeated home team in the NBA and that should be the case after tonight as well, as they host Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs. Boston won the first meeting by 33 points a little over 2 weeks ago as they shot over 53% from the field and outrebounded the inexperienced Spurs by 18 on the night. With more or less the same rosters playing, the Celtics should be superior in every single aspect of tonight’s game.
There’s not much going for San Antonio right now — they’re on a 2-game losing streak following the 10-point loss at Atlanta the other day. They fell behind by 35 points early in the game, but despite mounting a comeback late they still fell short. I don’t see how they can pose a threat for the Celtics here, San Antonio has just 4 wins in 20 road games this season and they’re only 9-11 ATS. Boston won their last home game by 32 points against the Rockets and I’m expecting another blowout victory here.
MIN Timberwolves -12 over Detroit Pistons (-110)
We have the worst team in the Eastern Conference taking on the best team in the Western Conference. Detroit did win a game the other day at Washington 129-117, it was only their 2nd win since October 30. I don’t see how the Pistons keep things close, especially because Cade Cunningham will miss this game. He is by far their best player and the motor of this team. The Pistons have only the 28th-ranked defense in the league; you’ll have a difficult time finding them in the top of any statistical category this season.
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves boast the NBA’s best defensive rating — giving up just 108.4 points per 100 possessions. We now have a sample size of 39 games in which they own the 4th-best 3-point percentage and also rank 2nd in Player Impact Estimate. This game is a match made in heaven for the likes of Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert. The talented big men should be able to assert themselves, as Detroit ranks only 26th in opponent points in the paint this season. With all things considered, don’t overthink this one. Fade the worst team in the league without its best player.
