Caleb Wilfinger
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The first month of the 2023-24 NBA season produced some terrific action, with high-profile primetime matchups galore and exciting upsets across the league. The In-Season Tournament continues on Tuesday and the action features a number of compelling matchups, including Warriors vs Kings and Bucks vs Heat. A great slate of NBA hoops tonight definitely calls for an NBA mega parlay. Below are my plays for Tuesday, and also be sure to check out all of our NBA picks for tonight’s matchups.
Knicks -11 (-110)
Kings -1.5 (-110)
Heat ML (+130)
NBA parlay odds: +738
For this NBA parlay, we are going with an underdog on the money line and two favorites against the spread. Let’s break down each of the legs.
New York Knicks -11 over Charlotte Hornets (-110)
In one of the better spots on the board on Tuesday, the New York Knicks need a convincing victory at home to stay clear of the Miami Heat and advance to the knockout stages of the In-Season Tournament. It just so happens that New York gets the pleasure of playing the Charlotte Hornets at Madison Square Garden in this one. This Hornets team has dropped 7 of its last 10 games and continues to struggle mightily on the defensive end, sitting dead last in the NBA in defensive rating. That doesn’t bode well against a Knicks offense that is 10th in offensive rating despite having played a very difficult schedule to this point. And how do the Knicks beat teams? Well, New York is #1 across the league in rebound percentage on both the offensive and defensive glass. I expect plenty of extra possessions to be created in what should be a double-digit Knicks victory.
Sacramento Kings -1.5 over Golden State Warriors (-110)
Heading into the season, I was pretty bullish on the Sacramento Kings compared to where this team was sitting in the market. Through the first month of the campaign, I’ve been pleased with the effort from the Kings, even in games where star point guard De’Aaron Fox was out with an injury. This Kings team has also flourished in the in-season tournament, having already knocked off the Spurs and Timberwolves on the road, in addition to an impressive win over the Thunder. Sacramento has 2 losses to the Warriors this season by a combined 9 points and while the Kings have already advanced out of the group, I still believe they won’t rest guys in a pretty big playoff and early season revenge spot at home. Golden State has dropped 7 of 10 and looks to be a shell of its former self at the moment. Let’s light the beam on Tuesday.
Miami Heat ML over Milwaukee Bucks (+130)
To close out our NBA mega parlay for Tuesday, we’re going with the Miami Heat on the money line at home. While Milwaukee has played a lot better of late, something still doesn’t smell right with this Bucks team. Outside of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez, this team lacks a serious defensive premise, which has already reared its ugly head on the perimeter and in transition. The Bucks are 20th in defensive rating and (surprisingly) 18th in rebound percentage this season, a concern against a Miami Heat team that continues to find ways to play good basketball, despite seemingly losing key pieces every summer. The Heat are once again a top-10 defense and are quietly a top-6 team in assists created and assist-to-turnover ratio on offense, so let’s back Miami as short home ‘dogs to take down a slightly overvalued Bucks team.
