Filip Tomic
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My solid form continued last night with another NBA Mega Parlay winner at +2180 odds! It was my 4th winner over the last 10 days, so I’m hoping to continue the run tonight. Having just 4 games to choose from isn’t ideal, but I’m going to embrace the challenge. Continue reading below to see who made the cut today.
Head over to our NBA picks page for predictions on the side and total for Saturday’s games.
Now let’s dive into my bet!
Nets -9 (-106)
76ers vs Grizzlies Over 210.5 (-110)
Hawks ML (+530)
Parlay odds: +2237
Nets -9 over Pistons (-106)
The Nets have been up and down the last few weeks, but this is an ideal game for them to record back-to-back victories. Detroit just played last night in Memphis and didn’t have the best of times, getting blown out 108-90. It was the Pistons’ 3rd loss in a row and 11th over the last 12 games. On the road this team is just 1-7 SU in the last 8 games, they also have the same record in their last 8 visits to Brooklyn.
Although the Nets haven’t been convincing of late (to say the least!), they should be able to get the job done at home. Detroit has a 4-9 SU record in 13 games when playing with no rest and a Net Rating of -8 points. Head-to-head meetings have gone Brooklyn’s way, with 10 wins in the last 12 played. They have outscored the Pistons by an average margin of 7.2 points in the 10 most recent meetings. I’ll take the Nets to win big.
76ers vs Grizzlies Over 210.5 (-110)
The resurrection of the Philadelphia 76ers is finally happening. We have all waited for Joel Embiid to come back from his knee injury; the entire league is at a loss when a talent like that doesn’t play. With the big fella back in the lineup, the Sixers are on 3-game winning streak and they head into tonight’s game as 13.5-point favorites. That’s a bit too much against a team that’s also on a 3-game winning streak, so I have opted for backing the points instead.
The first meeting of the season saw 224 points and a Memphis Grizzlies victory. We need just 211 points for tonight’s bet to land. These 2 teams are averaging 219.1 points per game in the last 10 meetings, with the over cashing 6 times. Philadelphia is also 12-5 on the O/U in its last 17 against Southwest Division teams, while the Grizzlies have cashed on the over in 4 of 5 against the Atlantic Division. All trends are pointing to a high-scoring game.
Hawks ML over Nuggets (+530)
In an effort to boost our odds, I have gone with a Atlanta Hawks victory at Ball Arena against the defending champion Nuggets. As I said yesterday with my Spurs ML pick that we are going to see more and more “crazy” results down the stretch of the regular season, so why not try our luck on this game?
Atlanta has been decent lately with 6 wins in 8 games. It is still in play to catch the Bulls, who are just 1 game ahead in the standings for the 9th seed. Meanwhile, the Nuggets just lost against the Clippers. Jamal Murray has been in and out of the lineup and for tonight’s game Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic both join him on the injury report as game-time decisions. The Nuggets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. A Denver loss further complicates the situation up top in the West; I’m going with the underdogs.
