Filip Tomic
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I had a spectacular winner yesterday as my +1157 odds NBA mega parlay cashed. That was already our 3rd NBA parlay winner this season, after we landed +612 and +444 winners earlier in the week. I’m hoping to keep the momentum going tonight as 22 teams hit the NBA hardwood. Feel free to head over to read our NBA predictions for each of Monday’s 11 games, but for now let’s jump into my picks for today’s action!
Celtics vs Wizards Over 229.5 (-112)
Pelicans -3.5 (-110)
Heat ML (+172)
NBA Parlay odds: +882
Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards Over 229.5 (-112)
We start things off in Washington where Kristaps Porzingis brings his new team, the Boston Celtics, to face his old team, the Wizards. Through the first couple of games the Wizards rank first in pace, averaging 106.7 possessions per game, and with the way their roster is constructed I wouldn’t be surprised if they ended the season as the fastest-paced team in the NBA. Jordan Poole has the ultimate green light, so you can expect him to let it fly against the Celtics tonight.
The C’s do prefer to slow things down, but if forced to play fast here they are more than capable of hanging with the Wizards. So far in 2 games played the Celtics have put up 108 and 119 points against two really solid defenses in Miami and New York. They also have an offensive rating of 109.7 which ranks 7th in the NBA. The previous meeting between these two teams in this building saw 241 points scored, while 3 of the last 4 overall have averaged 246 points per game. I’ll be backing the over with confidence here.
Don’t forget to check our Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards predictions
New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 over Golden State Warriors (-110)
Next up we have the Pelicans at home to cover against Stephen Curry and his Warriors. Some people might say this is a tricky pick and you’re right — it’s never easy betting against Stephen Curry. However, the Warriors did just play last night so it’ll be their 2nd game on a back-to-back, as they travel in from Houston. Last season, Golden State went just 7-8 SU in 15 such games and for an ageing roster, playing intense basketball 2 nights in a row could present some issues.
The Pels have youth on their side and for once they have their three stars fully healthy and playing together. They’re off to a really good start having beaten the Grizzlies and Knicks, getting the job done defensively and holding them to just 87 and 104 points. Draymond Green is finally back for Golden State, but I still expect Zion Williamson to bully his way on the inside here. In the last 5 meetings, he’s shooting over 54% from the field, while also having a +/- average of 14.2 per game. New Orleans is more than capable of slowing down Curry and winning by 4 points here.
Read our Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions
Miami Heat ML over Milwaukee Bucks (+172)
And finally, we have the Miami Heat beating the Milwaukee Bucks to close out our NBA mega parlay. The Bucks looked pretty average in last night’s loss to Atlanta. Damian Lillard in particular really struggled, going just 2-for-12 from the field and scoring only 6 points. A stark contrast from his first game with Milwaukee where he dropped 37 in the win over Philadelphia. It’s still early in the season, but the loss to the Hawks is a clear indicator that the Bucks have a ton of work in front of them if they plan on contending for the title. The Heat have had their number lately, going 4-1 ATS/SU against them in the last 5 meetings.
Jimmy Butler skipped Saturday’s game at Minnesota, resulting in a 16-point defeat to his team. He should be ready to go tonight though — he just loves going up against Giannis and the Bucks. In last year’s 1st round series, Butler averaged 37.6 points per game against them on almost 60% shooting from the field and an unreal-by-his-standards 44.4% efficiency from downtown. Miami is yet to get a road win in 2 attempts, but with a healthy Butler and Khris Middleton potentially missing yet another game for Milwaukee, I think they have the necessary tools to finally get off the mark here.
Don’t miss our NBA best bets for tonight’s slate
