Filip Tomic
Show Bio
A new month begins in the NBA as we enter March, which means we’re down to the final 20-ish regular season games for most teams. Friday’s 9-game NBA slate is a perfect opportunity to land another NBA mega parlay. I’ve included both games from tonight’s ESPN doubleheader in today’s NBA parlay, and you can also check out our NBA picks for the big matchups.
Mavericks ML (+330)
Warriors -2.5 (-112)
Bucks -3.5 (-108)
NBA parlay odds: +1467
Dallas Mavericks ML over Boston Celtics (+330)
We’re starting off our NBA mega parlay with a banger. Dallas ends a 4-game road trip in Boston tonight against the best team in the league and I’m going with the upset. I know the numbers are pointing heavily towards a Celtics win here, but I have faith in Luka Doncic. On Wednesday, he celebrated his 25th birthday with another masterful performance of 30 points, 11 rebounds and 16 assists in an 11-point win at Toronto. Prior to that game, the Mavs suffered a tough loss at Cleveland on a buzzer-beating three from half-court, and at some point luck has to turn their way.
The Celtics picked up where they left off before the all-star break, winning all 3 of their games by double-digits. They also won the first meeting of the season between these teams by 9 points on the road, but they struggled heavily to deal with Doncic as he filled the stat sheet with 33 points, 18 rebounds and 13 assists. Kyrie Irving always gets up to play against his former teams and I expect nothing less tonight when he hears the boos from the TD Garden faithful. Dallas is 8-2 SU/ATS in their last 10 overall and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 visits to Boston. Take the Mavs to pull the big upset.
Lock in our Mavericks vs Celtics Same Game Parlay for tonight’s crunch NBA matchup
Golden State Warriors -2.5 over Toronto Raptors (-112)
Although they played last night, I feel like the Warriors are in a good spot here to beat the Raptors. This is a revenge game for Steph and company, who lost to Toronto 133-118 back in early January at Chase Center. We’re witnessing quite the turnaround from the Warriors lately, as they’ve won 5 of 6 games and are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 on the road. They showed up defensively in last night’s win over the Knicks, holding them to just 99 points. Curry had 31 points and 11 rebounds, while connecting on his standard 8 threes.
Toronto just got beaten badly by the Mavs 136-125 at home, ending a 3-game win streak. This team hasn’t had many of those this season, as they’re just 1-10 SU against the Western Conference in their last 11 games. Catching the 10th-seeded Hawks will be a challenge — they’re 4 games back with less than 25 games to go. This should be all Golden State, so back them to cover for the 8th game in a row away from home.
Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 over Chicago Bulls (-108)
More often than not, I won’t recommend backing a team that’s playing on a 2nd night of a back-to-back, but that rule doesn’t apply here. Milwaukee just beat the Charlotte Hornets last night by double-digits and Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo each played 34 and 33 minutes, so they should be relatively fresh here. The Bucks have made a swift turnaround since the all-star break, especially on the defensive end where they’re holding opponents to under 100 points on a nightly basis. All the Doc Rivers critics are slowly going away as this team is 3rd in defensive rating over the last 10 games, with only the Timberwolves and Heat performing better.
Chicago just played a tough double OT game against the Cavaliers at home and although they came out on top, that doesn’t change the fact that this team is very limited on the offensive end. Three-point shooting has been a particular lowlight, and earlier this week they shot just 2-for-29 or 6.9% from downtown in the 105-95 loss to the Pistons. For them to hang around with the Bucks, they would need to make at least double-digit threes here, I’m not ready to trust them. Let’s go with the Bucks, who are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last 5 games.
