Thursday Night Football is back for Week 11. For this edition of TNF, we have a rematch of Super Bowl LI. The Atlanta Falcons will host the New England Patriots. Will Mac Jones keep rolling toward a potential Rookie of the Year win, or will the Falcons pull a big upset? The spread is at right about a touchdown with the Patriots favored by 6.5-7 points and we of course have our own thoughts on the side and total, but right now we’re talking Monkey Knife Fight and the games they have available to play for TNF.
MKF is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sports sites in the U.S. with a unique offering of player props games. You don’t have to play against a bunch of professionals with algorithms and it’s super easy to use.
Here are my favorite couple of MKF plays for Thursday Night Football.
Don’t forget to check out our free NFL picks on the side and total for every game in Week 11!
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Monkey Knife Fight More or Less – Matt Ryan more than 251.5 passing yards, Mac Jones more than 245.5 passing yards
Looking at this passing yards More or Less, I’m going more for both Ryan and Jones. Let’s start with Ryan. 251.5 is giving too much respect to this Patriots defense. Their metrics look pretty solid, but that’s because they’ve faced a pretty soft schedule of offenses. Playing the Jets twice will distort those numbers. The last time they played an offense that’s actually humming was the Cowboys a few weeks ago, and Dak Prescott threw for 445 yards. Ryan struggled last week, but before that he had thrown for at least 336 yards in 3 of 4 games.
Jones should have some success against a Falcons defense that is light on talent. Last week Atlanta gave up 296 yards to Prescott, and he didn’t even play the fourth quarter. The week before that, they gave up 249 to Trevor Siemian. Jones should be able to keep pace with Siemian. The promising rookie hasn’t had to do too much the past few weeks as the Pats have relied on their run defense, but I expect him to be throwing more here.
What is More or Less?
One of MKF’s most popular games, More or Less gives you a list of players and their yardage lines, and you simply have to choose More if you think they’ll go over, or Less if you think they’ll go under. It can include two or more selections, and if you get them all right you win! The more selections there are, the better the payout.
We’ve hit three of our last six TNF same game parlays, so make sure you read our SGP for Patriots vs Falcons (+3419 odds!)
More or Less – Kyle Pitts more than 65.5 receiving yards, Damien Harris less than 60.5 rushing yards
I often will play one More or Less and one Rapid Fire. But this week, none of the Rapid Fires jumped out to me. Instead, I like a second More or Less. I’m going more on Pitts and less on Harris. Pitts has been phenomenal for a rookie, and has put up at least 60 yards in four of his past five games. In two of those contests, he went for 119+. The Falcons are already down Calvin Ridley, and now Cordarrelle Patterson has an ankle injury. Pitts should see an onslaught of targets coming his way. This play obviously also correlates with our more play on Ryan.
On the flip side, I’m not expecting too much from Harris on the ground. He missed last week, and I’m not so sure he’s going to step right back into a workhorse role. Rookie Rhamondre Stevenson played well last week against the Browns, rushing for 100 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries. Stevenson is going to get some touches too. In Harris’ last game, he racked up only 30 yards on 15 carries. The week before that he averaged only 3.5 yards per carry.
Don’t forget to find out Prop Bet Guy’s favorite prop bet for Patriots vs Falcons!
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