The time has come for the Midsummer Classic. While most MLB players have the day off, a select few have been voted to participate in tonight’s All-Star Game. We’re in for a treat as some of the best hitters and pitchers on the planet are coming together in Seattle to put on a show. I have two prop bets to make for tonight, so let’s dive in! And make sure you also check out my MLB All-Star Game predictions for tonight’s big matchup.
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Luis Arraez to record a single (+118)
Available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
First of all, we should acknowledge the historic season that Luis Arraez is having. In his first season with Miami after the blockbuster trade that sent Pablo Lopez to Minnesota and Arraez to the Marlins, Arraez has a .383 batting average and a .434 on-base percentage at the break. He has been flirting with a .400 average for the last several months, and considering we’re over halfway through the season and he’s still close, Arraez is a legitimate threat to hit .400. If you keep getting brought up in the same sentence as Ted Williams’ 1941 season, you’re going to be an All-Star. This is Arraez’s second All-Star nomination in back-to-back seasons, and last year he made the most out of his 2 at-bats in the Midsummer Classic. He went 1-for-2 with a single after subbing in for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in 2022 and will be featured in the National League’s starting lineup this time.
If Arraez gets 2 at-bats, I love his chances of getting a base hit. But not an extra-base hit, just a single. The reason I chose for him to hit a single instead of 2+ total bases or something like that is because Arraez is a contact hitter, not a power hitter. He ranks in the 99th percentile in xBA and the 100th percentile in strikeout rate. Of his 126 hits this season, 82.5% of them have been singles. His bat-to-ball skills are amazing, and I like his chances of a single in tonight’s All-Star Game.
Check out my +1854 MLB All-Star Same Game Parlay!
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Under 16.5 hits (-110)
Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
There have been fewer than 17 hits in 2 of the last 3 All-Star Games, and the one that didn’t had 17. The Midsummer Classic has definitely become more pitcher-friendly, and what I mean by that is the games are no longer crazily high-scoring and competitive. There will be a few extra-base hits and maybe even a home run if we’re lucky, but I’m anticipating a low-scoring All-Star Game. I took the under 7.5 last night and woke up to see the total had dropped to 7 in some places already, so oddsmakers have the same thoughts. Now, I’m not saying that offense will be non-existent, but this game shouldn’t feature the same amount of firepower as a normal MLB game. That’s because all you need to do is look at the pitching staffs of the American and National League teams. I’m expecting 15-16 hits tonight, but not 17 or more, and that’s why I’m taking the under.
Don’t forget about my MLB All-Star Game YRFI/NRFI best bet!
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