JutPicks
Show Bio
MLB Sunday gets started early with 12:05 pm ET first pitch in New York. Meanwhile, most of the action on the East Coast will begin at 1:35 pm ET. Javan Shouey put on a show for us yesterday with a 3-0 day of MLB player props. Let’s see if we can replicate that!
Let’s focus our attention to one of the top hitters in the MLB this season, Cody Bellinger. He headlines our top MLB player prop bet of the day, but be sure to also check out our MLB predictions for every matchup on the docket.
You can bet on these MLB player props with BetMGM, which has the best odds available for one of our props and a great new-customer promotion where you can get a $1,000 deposit bonus! Click here to take advantage of this offer.
Cody Bellinger (Cubs) over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-135)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Cody Bellinger cost us on Friday night with an 0-4 performance from the plate, but he had an infield single overturned in the 9th inning. A 5-minute review was questionable, but we move on… Bellinger and the rest of the Cubs offense had an offensive explosion yesterday in the second game of their series against the Pirates. They scored 10 runs with Bellinger recording 2 hits, 2 runs and 2 RBIs. Safe to say he crushed this prop.
Today, he’ll face off against former Philadelphia Phillies LHP Bailey Falter. You may already be aware but Bellinger crushes left-handed pitching. He’s hitting .331 with an on-base percentage of .391. The unfamiliarity with Falter doesn’t help but the top of the Cubs order hitting in front of Bellinger have all seen Falter. I trust this Cubs offense to find the basepaths for Bellinger and move this prop to 33/48 on the road, where he may see 5 at-bats.
Our MLB prop bets are available at DraftKings Sportsbook, and if you sign up right now, then you can bet $5 and secure $200 in bonus bets! Head over to DraftKings now by clicking this link.
Jordan Montgomery (Rangers) over 17.5 outs (-120)
Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Who doesn’t love a +EV prop? BetMGM has this listed at -120 with the next best major book coming in at -141. Let’s dive into this prop.
Jordan Montgomery has been nothing short of a workhorse since he left the New York Yankees. Now that he’s moved on from the St. Louis Cardinals and found himself on a contending team, Montgomery has been lights out. In 4 games with the Rangers, Montgomery has a 1.73 ERA, has allowed just 5 runs and has cashed this prop in all 4 games. He’s even cashed this prop in 7 straight games.
Montgomery will face off against the Twins today in what should be a great game. The Rangers, on the road, are listed as slight favorites with Bailey Ober on the mound. All we care about is the Twins offense. They’ve been solid against LHP this month but nothing to scare us away from playing this. Montgomery’s 80th percentile BB% will be much-needed today and limit his pitch count which has fallen in the low 90s.
With Montgomery cashing this prop in 12 of his last 13 starts and him facing the Twins for the first time since 2021, I trust the southpaw to be efficient and give the Rangers 6 innings of quality baseball.
Michael Wacha (Padres) under 4.5 strikeouts (-130)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
We’re shopping around today with 3 different books for our player props. Make sure you’re shopping around for this player prop as FanDuel is beating the market by 20 cents on DraftKings.
Michael Wacha has been extremely impressive. Even coming off injury, he hasn’t slowed down. But, if there’s any prop to attack it’s Wacha’s Ks. He’s failed to record 5 strikeouts in 5 of 7 road starts where he’s been slightly worse. Nothing too crazy as he has a 3.23 ERA but just a .77 K/9.
He’ll face off against the Brewers, who have been cold from the plate. The good news for us though is that they rank in the top 7 in K rate against RHP in August. The top of the order projects to be not so K-friendly for Wacha. Christian Yelich, William Contreras and Carlos Santana all have a K rate below 21% against RHP. This could be a regression outing from Wacha but even if he deals and goes 6 innings, he could still very well go under this total.
Bet365 – the world’s #1 sportsbook – has arrived in the United States! If you sign up right now and bet just $1, you can immediately get $200 in bonus bets! Join Bet365 by clicking this link.
