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16 games swarm the MLB slate on Saturday with the Cubs-Cardinals playing a doubleheader. Let’s dive into our MLB player prop bets for today, July 13, but don’t forget you can also find out our experts’ MLB picks for each of today’s matchups.
Andrew Abbott (CIN) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-130)
Line available at ESPN Sportsbook at time of publishing.
As of publication, most of the major sportsbooks have buried Andrew Abott’s earned run line of under 2.5 to -150 – luckily, ESPNBET is still offering this at a playable number at -130. We’ll take advantage of that price as Abbott faces off against a dreadful Miami Marlins offense, especially against left-handed pitching.
Abbott comes in today with momentum on his side. He’s allowed fewer than three earned runs in four straight starts while holding 14 of his 18 opponents on the year to stay under this line.
Unfortunately for Miami, they have their hands full. They’re hitting a bottom-five rate against LHP over the last 30 days as a team. Their on-base percentage is just as bad, as it ranks in the bottom three. With this being the first meeting between Abbott and these Marlins hitters, I give the advantage to the 25-year-old southpaw who ranks in the 71st and 75th percentile in xERA and xBA.
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-135)
Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Don’t look now, but Julio Rodriguez may be figuring it out at the plate. After a sluggish start to the season, which included hitting just .206 in June, Rodriguez is closing out the first half of the season with a bang. He’s hitting .438 in July with three home runs and is riding a streak of back-to-back three-hit games.
Rodriguez meets a familiar foe in Jose Soriano of the Los Angeles Angels tonight. Even though Rodriguez is just 2/8 off Soriano with two singles, all eight at-bats have come in the last two years, including three plate appearances at the end of May. I’m banking on that familiarity to give Rodriguez the edge – and cash the over of 1.5 hits + runs + RBI for the third straight game.
