Best MLB player prop bet for today 5/12: Gerrit Cole is money at home

MLB Friday is a beautiful thing. Every team will be in action and great weather is on tap on the East Coast. After scavenging every MLB player prop line, I found Gerrit Cole as our top bet of the night. Let’s dive into the AL CY Young favorite, but make sure you also check out our MLB picks for every game today as well as our MLB mega parlay at +1030 odds.

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Gerrit Cole (NYY) over 6.5 Strikeouts (-137)

Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Here we are again, attacking a pitcher that just faced off against an opponent for the second time already. We cashed in on Zac Gallen 7+ strikeouts on Monday night against the Miami Marlins. That was Gallen’s second time around facing his former team this season but that didn’t stop him. Cole will be facing the Tampa Bay Rays again after struggling against them in his last start — but that was on the road. Since putting on the Yankee pinstripes, Cole has been much better at home, this season in particular. In 5 home starts, he has a below 1.00 ERA and is averaging 1.24 strikeouts per inning. He’s eclipsed 7 strikeouts in 4 of 5 starts and has gone plenty deep into those games. We should see the same today. This will be the Yankees’ 8th straight game and they don’t have a day off until May 22nd!

The Rays’ success this season hasn’t been a surprise to people that pay attention. They crush right-handed pitching for an average of .266. What is encouraging for MLB prop bettors backing Cole is the Rays’ strikeout rate to right-handed pitching in the last three weeks. They’re striking out at the 10th-highest rate in baseball. The lineup has yet to be released but let’s jump on this early. The Rays are expected to start 5 bats that have a strikeout rate to righties of over 23%. Cole has had success against guys like Randy Arozarena, Brandon Lowe and Taylor Wells. Expect Cole to bounce back against the Yankees’ division rival.

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