Caleb Wilfinger
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Following an eventful Wild Card Weekend, we’re onto the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, which means the Ravens and 49ers will be back on the field after a bye week. Over in the AFC, the biggest matchup in the week does not involve the No. 1 seed. Following the Chiefs’ dominant victory over the Dolphins last weekend, they now have set up a hotly-anticipated matchup with the Bills in Buffalo on Saturday night. I’ve taken a look at the anytime touchdown scorer market and have 2 picks to lock in for this AFC matchup.
The Pickswise team has been absolutely on fire with their touchdown scorer prop picks throughout this 2023 NFL campaign, so let’s keep the momentum going! Here are my best TD scorer bets for Sunday’s game, and also be sure to check out our full NFL predictions for the Divisional Round.
Josh Allen, QB, BUF (-110 at FanDuel)
The Bills have been in playoff mode since they were sitting at 6-6 and needed to win out in order to make the playoffs. Not only in Buffalo do just that, but the Bills also did so in large part thanks to new offensive coordinator Joe Brady’s reliance on Josh Allen’s legs in pivotal spots. As I have mentioned in previous touchdown scorer pieces over the last 6 weeks, the Bills often turn to Allen to dig them out of a hole when the chips are down, and he typically uses his legs to do so. I expect the same thing to continue in a massive showdown against the Chiefs on Sunday, as the Bills have a chance to finally knock off Kansas City and advance to the AFC Championship Game. Allen has found the end zone with his legs in 10 of the Bills last 12 contests and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Allen gets multiple opportunities in the red zone in this one. This prop is simply mispriced at the current number, so let’s take advantage.
Isaiah Pacheco, RB, KC (+120 at DraftKings)
Last week I backed Pacheco to find the end zone, and I’m going right back to the well this time out. At the time of writing, temperatures are expected to be cold with plenty of wind in the forecast in Buffalo. The Chiefs already happen to be a run-first offense these days, and the weather and game script should only encourage them to run the ball. In a hostile environment against a top 10 defense, a healthy helping of Isiah Pacheco out of the backfield could be the perfect tonic for a Chiefs offense that has struggled mightily with inconsistency in the passing game all season long. It also helps that the Bills’ defense is depleted with numerous injuries, including massive losses in the linebacking corps. All signs point to Pacheco getting 18 to 20 carries in this game, and he should get plenty of red zone touches. For that reason, any touchdown scorer prop at plus money is too good to pass up.
