Phil Agius
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The Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills provide the early afternoon entertainment on Thanksgiving Day, but it’s not the game we might have expected a month ago. If someone had told you then that one of these teams would be bringing a 3-game winning streak into the Turkey Day game, while the other had lost 2 of its last 3 and failed to cover in any of those games, most people would have expected the Bills to be the team in better form. Not so fast! The Bills remain the Super Bowl favorites but they are in 3rd place in the AFC East after losses to the Jets and Vikings and a 31-23 win over the Browns that still wasn’t enough to see them covering the spread. That game was played at Ford Field in Detroit due to heavy snow in Buffalo, and this one will be too!
Traditional Thanksgiving hosts the Lions are not usually seeking a 4th straight win when they are thrust into the national spotlight in late November, but that’s the case this time after wins over the Packers, Bears and Giants.
With kickoff set for 12:30 pm ET on FOX, it’s time to take a look at the best touchdown scorer bets for the Bills vs Lions game.
Be sure to check out Clevta’s Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions predictions
Buffalo Bills touchdown scorer best bet: Josh Allen (+125)
Odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing
My first thought for a TD scorer bet on this game was Stefon Diggs, who showed his frustration at not getting the ball during the Bills’ game against Cleveland. As we all know, the squeaky wheel gets the grease and QB Josh Allen was able to find Diggs running loose in the end zone for a TD later in the game. However, he would not have been happy with his final return of 4 receptions for 48 yards and Allen will no doubt feel under pressure to look for him early and often on Thursday afternoon. Even so, at odds as low as -165 there’s no value in a Diggs TD, and Allen himself looks a better option at plus-money.
The Bills QB is actually his teams’ leading rusher this season with 483 yards, 3 more than RB Devin Singletary, and has carried the ball into the end zone 4 times, also a team-high. My colleague Ricky Dimon also likes the chances of Allen to score and included this leg in his Bills vs Lions Same Game Parlay, pointing out that the Lions are allowing the most rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks (42.2) and have given up 5 TDs on the ground to QBs. The Lions allowed 2 rushing scores to QB Justin Fields of the Bears recently and it would be no surprise to see Allen charging in to score too.
Don’t miss Prop Holliday’s Thanksgiving Day NFL player prop bets!
Buffalo Bills touchdown scorer next best bet: Dawson Knox (+200)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
The Bills’ leading receiver in the Browns game wasn’t Diggs or Gabriel Davis, it was tight end Dawson Knox, who had 7 catches for 70 yards. He didn’t reach the end zone against Cleveland, but he is becoming a key target for Allen again having been strangely overlooked at the start of the season.
With 11 receptions on 13 targets for 127 yards in the last 2 games, it seems likely that Knox will continue to be a valuable option for Allen this week. The other player to score 2 TDs for Chicago in that game against the Lions was their tight end Cole Kmet, and Knox could enjoy a similar breakout.
Our Bills vs Lions Same Game Parlay has +728 odds — check it out!
Anytime Touchdown Scorer FAQs
What does “anytime touchdown scorer” mean?
Anytime touchdown scorer is a popular player prop bet that NFL bettors can wager on throughout the season. But what is it, and how do you win?
As the name suggests, placing a wager on the anytime touchdown scorer market is when you tip a particular player to score a touchdown during a game. This can be a rushing or receiving touchdown for an offensive player, or you can wager on a team’s defense/special teams to score a touchdown by interception return and fumble return or kickoff and punt returns.
If your player or defense scores a touchdown, you win! The odds will differ from player-to-player depending on the sportsbooks’ calculated probability of that player scoring.
Does anytime touchdown scorer include passing touchdowns?
Not for a quarterback, no. A player must get into the end zone, himself, in order to qualify as an anytime touchdown scorer. If a quarterback throws a touchdown pass, only the player who caught it counts as the scorer. If Joe Burrow throws a touchdown pass to Ja’Marr Chase, wagers placed on Evans as an anytime touchdown scorer will cash. However, those placed on Rodgers as an anytime touchdown scorer will not (unless he also runs for a TD). See below for more on what the anytime touchdown scorer market means for quarterbacks.
What does anytime touchdown scorer mean for a QB?
For a wager on a QB to be an anytime touchdown scorer to cash, he must follow the same rules as a running back, tight end, or receiver. He must get into the end zone himself, either as a runner or a pass-catcher.
In the age of the mobile quarterback, QBs such as Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Kyler Murray are often seen rushing in for a touchdown on any given Sunday. And don’t forget the occasional Philly Special, either. QBs can sometimes catch passes for TDs, too.
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