This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football takes us to Cincinnati for a battle between the Bills and Bengals. Can Joe Burrow stay hot and lead Cincy to another win? Or can Josh Allen finally take down Burrow and the Bengals?
Here are our touchdown scorer best bets for the primetime matchup.
Buffalo Bills touchdown scorer best bet: Dalton Kincaid (+210)
In the red zone, Josh Allen likes to do 2 things: run it in himself or target a tight end. Allen has excellent wheels and a tight end’s body, which allows him to barrel through to the end zone, something he has done five times this season. However, when he doesn’t run it, he likes to target the big bodies in the end zone. Last season, Dawson Knox was the benefactor of that. This season, it’s been the rookie Dalton Kincaid. Buffalo’s tight end hauled in his first career touchdown pass last week against the Patriots, and it’s clear that he’s becoming a bigger part of the offense. In his last 2 games alone, Kincaid has 13 catches on 15 targets for 140 yards. His uptick in targets is also because Knox was placed on the injury reserve last week, so Kincaid is now the primary tight end.
The rookie will go up against a Bengals defense that has been terrible at defending tight ends. Cincinnati has allowed the 9th most receiving yards oer game by a tight end this season and the 2nd-most touchdowns by tight ends. Just last week in San Francisco the Bengals’ defense allowed George Kittle to haul in 9 receptions for 149 yards – by far the most yards he’s had in a game this season. Tight ends appear to be Cincinnati’s weakness, and that’s an area Josh Allen is more than willing to exploit.
Check out our Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions
Cincinnati Bengals touchdown scorer best bet: Tyler Boyd (+250)
There is way too much value on Tyler Boyd, who is coming into Sunday Night Football having scored in two straight games. Joe Burrow’s rough start to the season affected everybody from Ja’Marr Chase to Tee Higgins to Boyd, but now that Burrow is back to normal, Boyd has become one of his go-to guys. Chase is still going to get the majority of the targets, but Boyd is consistently seeing 7+ targets a game lately, which is more than Higgins. In Boyd’s last 2 games against the 49ers and Seahawks, he hauled in 10 catches for 78 yards and 2 touchdowns. When the Bengals get in the red zone, don’t be surprised if Burrow starts looking for Boyd.
The Bills’ defense hasn’t been the same since Matt Malino and Tre’Davious White went down with injuries. Buffalo isn’t getting the same pressure on the quarterback, and they have become extremely thin at cornerback. In the two weeks without Malino and White, the Bills’ defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns. It’s clear that the secondary is struggling to hold its weight, and Burrow will be happy to look for Chase, Boyd and Higgins through the air all game. But in the end I think Boyd has an excellent chance to extend his touchdown streak to 3 games.
Don’t miss our expert’s Bills-Bengals player prop best bets
