The Baltimore Ravens will try to bounce back from an epic collapse against the Miami Dolphins when they visit the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. Baltimore led 35-14 going into the fourth quarter, only to see Miami storm back for a 42-38 victory. On the bright side for the Ravens, they are now going up against a much less explosive offense. New England is 1-1 but looks a lot close to 0-2 than 2-0.
Here are our predictions and best bets for this Ravens-Patriots contest.
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Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots spread, odds & betting lines
Point Spread: Ravens -2.5, Patriots +2.5
Total Points Over/Under: 43.5 points
Money Line Odds: Ravens -145, Patriots +125
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Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots expert picks
We have 3 NFL picks for this week’s clash between Baltimore and New England, including a 3-star selection against the spread. Let’s take a look.
Against the spread pick: Ravens -2.5 (-115) over Patriots
This is a great bounce-back spot for the Ravens. After all, the Patriots sure aren’t the Dolphins (in fact, New England lost to those same Dolphins 20-7 in Week 1). Moreover, a late-game lack of focus can’t entirely discount the fact that the Ravens were blowing out a tough opponent for the majority of the contest. Combined with a 24-9 season-opening defeat of the Jets, the Ravens were outscoring opponents 59-23 through six and a half quarters. Now they face an unspectacular New England squad.
Head coach Bill Belichick’s team was terrible against the Dolphins in Week 1 and they was bad – at least offensively – again during last Sunday’s 17-14 victory over Pittsburgh in what was a thoroughly awful football game. Mac Jones has more turnovers (3) than touchdowns (2) and New England is averaging a mere 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson is playing at an MVP level with 531 passing yards, 136 rushing yards, 7 total touchdowns and only 1 interception.
Be sure to check out our full Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots predictions
Over/Under totals pick: Under 43.5 (-115)
The Patriots obviously want to make this a low-scoring game, as they can’t keep up with the Ravens in a shootout like the Dolphins did. But even if Belichick accomplishes that feat, I remain confident that Baltimore will cover. I have no reservations taking both the Ravens and the under. Their defense is good enough (last week’s performance notwithstanding) and the Pats’ offense is bad enough for the visitors to win by a sizable margin even if this turns out to be a relative defensive struggle.
As mentioned in the ATS write-up, New England cannot move the football either through the air or on the ground. The good news for the Patriots is that they are allowing just 17.0 points per game. Now they face a Baltimore offense that has 3 starters questionable: RB J.K. Dobbins, WR Devin Duvernay and OT Ronnie Stanley. The under is 12-4 in the Ravens’ last 16 on the road and 5-0 in the Patriots’ last five in September. Go with the under.
Player prop pick: Rashod Bateman, WR, BAL Over 46.5 receiving yards (-115)
Bateman has become WR1 in Baltimore this season. That doesn’t necessarily mean he is the first option ahead of tight end Mark Andrews, but through 2 weeks Bateman leads the Ravens in receiving yards with 167 and is tied for first in receiving touchdowns with 2 (Devin Duvernay also has 2). Duvernay (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday and was a limited participant on Thursday. He is questionable at best for Sunday. If Duvernay can’t go, Bateman will be an even bigger focal point of the offense. Expect the Jackson-Bateman connection to click yet again in Week 3.
Be sure to check out all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and Best Bets from the rest of the Week 3 action.
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