Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL predictions, picks, odds & spreads: Jags can keep it close

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) scrambles with the ball against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at TIAA Bank Field.
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Caleb Wilfinger

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Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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The Ravens are Jaguars have both been involved in a ton of one possession games this season. But while Baltimore has managed to win the majority of those games, the Jags can’t say the same, which is why their record sits at 3-7. Despite this, oddsmakers feel Jacksonville can keep things close in Sunday’s matchup. This will be an interesting AFC battle and our NFL expert gives their picks, predictions and best bets for this big game.

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NFL Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars expert predictions

The Jags are coming off their bye while the Ravens beat the Panthers, but didn’t look like world-beaters doing it. Baltimore struggled with Carolina for much of a game that was tied 3-3 late, and they won as 13-point favorites only because Baker Mayfield couldn’t get anything going. Our expert believes that Jacksonville’s defense should have a good plan in place to slow down Lamar Jackson and company, so let’s get into their predictions.

Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars spread, odds & betting lines

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Point Spread: Ravens -4, Jaguars +4
Total Points Over/Under: 43.5 points
Money Line Odds: Ravens -190, Jaguars +170

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Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars expert picks

We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this clash between the Ravens and Jaguars. 

Ravens vs Jaguars point spread pick: Jaguars +4 (-110)

I’ve been concerned about this Ravens offense for a while. Their third-down passing game isn’t any good, and Lamar Jackson doesn’t have many weapons at his disposal. The Jaguars have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL, and there’s no reason for the Ravens to be a large road favorite. I haven’t been impressed by any of Baltimore’s wins, while the Jags are being underrated by the market.

Jacksonville has lost a bunch of close games, with 6 of their 7 defeats coming by one score. The only game they lost by more than one possession was on the road at the Chiefs by 10. Travis Etienne is starting to break out, and Christian Kirk is coming off a 105-yard 2-touchdown game. The Ravens’ 7-3 record has patched everything up for the time being, but there are a lot of issues simmering beneath the surface. They’ve played a pretty soft schedule recently, and I think some of those issues get exposed. Getting more than a field goal with a Jags team that has played much better at home this year is too good to pass up.

Be sure to check out our full Ravens vs Jaguars predictions

Ravens vs Jaguars Over/Under totals pick: Under 43.5 (-110)

The under makes a lot of sense in this spot. For starters, Jacksonville’s defense takes a massive step up at home. In 5 home games this season, the Jags are giving up an average of only 15.4 points per contest. And you can’t really blame them too much for struggling on the road against the Chiefs last week. I don’t know of any team slowing down Patrick Mahomes right now.

The Ravens have been winning games more due to their defense than their offense, and they’ve given up only 16 total points over the last 2 weeks. Their pass-rush has been heating up, and the trade deadline acquisition of linebacker Roquan Smith is already paying dividends. Smith had a sack and a tackle for loss last Sunday, and he’s been flying all over the field in his first 2 games with Baltimore.

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