Ricky Dimon
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To say that the Australian Open was a smashing success for me would be a gross understatement. I went 27-13 on my daily best bets for a profit of 20.1 units. Now it’s time to ride the wave as the action gets back in gear on the ATP and WTA Tours. The month of February features plenty of big tournaments in North America, South America, Europe and the Midde East. An especially intriguing event this week will be played in Dallas, where the men are taking the court.
With Aussie Open momentum behind me, here is a breakdown of the Dallas odds and my 3 best bets.
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Dallas Open odds
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Taylor Fritz +300
Frances Tiafoe +450
Denis Shapovalov +550
Miomir Kecmanovic +1000
J.J. Wolf +1200
John Isner +1200
Mackenzie McDonald +1400
Marcos Giron +1800
Ilya Ivashka +2200
Adrian Mannarino +2200
3-star value play: Frances Tiafoe (+450)
Tiafoe is off to a 7-1 start this season, with his only loss coming to Karen Khachanov in round 4 of the Australian Open (Khachanov went on to reach the semifinals). The 25-year-old American has been in stellar form dating back to a semifinal run a last summer’s U.S. Open and he is up to 15th in the ATP rankings. Tiafoe generally does his best work on home soil; his lone title came at Delray Beach in 2018 and it would be no surprise if he lifts the trophy in Dallas. It should also be noted that Tiafoe can perform well on indoor hard courts, as he finished runner-up at a big tournament in Vienna during the fall of 2021.
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2-star value play: Denis Shapovalov (+550)
Like Tiafoe, Shapovalov surprisingly has only 1 career title to his credit (Stockholm 2019). But if Super Bowl Sunday rolls around and Tiafoe and Shapovalov are going head-to-head for a second trophy, it wouldn’t shock anyone. The left-hander from Canada has a friendly draw before potentially facing #1 seed Taylor Fritz in the semifinals. That matchup would be tough, but I feel like Fritz is more focused on bigger events and may already be looking ahead to Indian Wells – which he won in March of 2022. I think a more determined Shapovalov can take advantage.
1-star value play: John Isner (+1200)
It may be true that Isner has one foot in the retirement door, but the 6’10’’ American is a unique player who can come up with a great result when you least expect it. After all, Isner’s serve is so good that he can win a whole bunch of matches with that shot alone – even if the rest of his game underwhelms. When you can get Isner at bloated +1200 odds, it’s an opportunity that should not be missed. The 37-year-old has a favorable draw – along with Tiafoe – in the bottom half of the bracket away from Fritz and Shapovalov. And, oh yeah, he is a Dallas resident who will have the fans firmly in his corner. Isner is worth at least a 1-unit sprinkle.
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