2022-23 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds & predictions: Treylon Burks breaks out

The 2022 NFL season is finally on the horizon. The marathon battle for the Lombardi Trophy begins on September 8 with a matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams. As well as projecting which teams are going to have success this fall, we can also make our predictions for who will win the individual awards.

With most of the offseason moves in the rearview mirror, it’s time to discuss our favorite bets for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. This is a pretty wide-open market, which makes looking into a longshot an attractive option. Let’s take a look at the odds and best bets to make before the season starts.

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winner odds

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year best bet: Treylon Burks (+1000)

This year’s class of rookies is fairly deep, making this market extremely competitive. The favorite in the field is Kenny Pickett, who is only priced at 7/1 because he’s projected to be the Steelers’ starting quarterback. However, I don’t see Pickett having immediate success in Pittsburgh. Even though a QB has won this award in 9 of the last 18 seasons, targeting this year’s deep rookie receiving class is the best option.

Of the receivers that will start in Week 1, I like the situation Treylon Burks is entering into. Due to the departure of A.J. Brown, Burks will immediately be the go-to guy in Tennessee. Burks already has a similar build and his explosiveness at Arkansas made him one of the best receivers in the nation. With 12 touchdowns and over 1,200 scrimmage yards a season ago, Burks should step right in and fill Brown’s shoes effectively. And if the Titans end up winning the AFC South, it will undoubtedly be thanks to a strong rookie season from their No. 1 wideout. At this price, Burks is worth a play.

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year longshot bet: Isaiah Spiller (+4000)

When choosing a longshot, it makes sense to hone in on a running back. Seeing as 4 of the last 8 awards in this category have been won by an RB, targeting one down the board is worth a play. In this case, why not place your bet on a player that should fit seamlessly into an explosive offense?

At odds of 40/1, Isaiah Spiller is a solid choice to make a run at this award. The former Texas A&M running back was a multiple-time 1000-yard rusher in the SEC and should fit in nicely behind Austin Ekeler in the Chargers backfield. With Justin Herbert at the controls, the Bolts should use both running backs out of the backfield in the passing game as well. Spiller tallied over 7 yards per reception throughout his 3-year career, and I expect him to have similar success as the No. 2 option in L.A. And if Ekeler goes down for whatever reason, Spiller should see a ton of opportunities as the top man in the Chargers backfield.

Could this +7500 bet on Defensive Player of the Year have value?