New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Odds and World Series Game 1 Picks for Friday, 10/25/24
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After more than 6 months of baseball, the World Series comes down to the 2 preseason favorites, the 2 biggest dogs on the block, and we are here for your Yankees vs Dodgers prediction for Game 1. The Dodgers get home-field advantage, so the series will open out west on Friday night. The Yankees are plus-money odds to win the series and plus-money odds to win Game 1, and I am a big fan of both of those bets. The Yankees will send Gerrit Cole to the mound in Game 1, and he will face Jack Flaherty. While I love getting Cole at plus money, that is not my only reason to back the Yankees in Game 1. But my Yankees vs Dodgers pick is the Yankees on the money line.
I am not overly concerned that Flaherty got blasted by the Mets in his last time out. So what, it happens. My bigger concern is that the Yankee lineup is just scary, and with Stanton on a homerun binge, the middle of this order is almost impossible to navigate right now. I also do not think that Dave Roberts can continue to navigate his bullpen the way he has so far in the postseason, and while that is more of a concern for the long haul of the series, I expect it to impact Game 1 also. I think we can expect 5 or 6 strong innings from Cole that he gives the Yankees the early edge, while the bullpen does enough to preserve the win from there. Give me the Bronx Bombers to take the first game of this series.
Yankees vs Dodgers prediction: Yankees ML (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -115.
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Yankees vs Dodgers Pickswise Expert Predictions
Pickswise Expert Prop Picks
For how well Mookie Betts played towards the tail end of the NLCS against the New York Mets, the Yankees are still going to resort to pitching to him rather than Shohei Ohtani. Ohtani was pitched around all series long in the NLCS. He walked in all 6 games a combined 9 times. When the Mets didn’t walk him, Ohtani made them pay for it. He recorded 8 hits, 2 of which were home runs, drove in 6 runs, and crossed home plate 9 times.
Let’s look ahead to this series against the Yankees. Ohtani and his 11.1% walk rate ranked in the 85th percentile in the league. That should mesh well against a Yankees bullpen that walked the 6th-most batters in the American League during the regular season. The Yankees will go to Gerrit Cole for Game 1, which bodes well for Ohtani, as Cole is walking batters at his highest rate since 2018. After Cole, I’m siding with Ohtani against whoever the Yankees go to in the bullpen. He walks at a near 13% rate against right-handed pitching and 8% against left-handed pitching.
Model projections coming soon
9 of the Dodgers' last 11 games (82%) have gone Over the total.
The Yankees have won 8 of their last 10 games.
With a rest advantage over their opponents, the Dodgers have covered the run line in 3 straight games.
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