New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 04/25/25
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Mets vs Nationals Pickswise Expert Predictions
The New York Mets will head to Washington to take on the Nationals in what should be a very exciting 4-game series. The Mets are red hot, riding a 7-game winning streak and aiming to make it eight straight after tonight’s matchup. Meanwhile, the Nationals have also been playing solid baseball — winning 4 of their last 6. The Mets boast the best ERA in the majors this season (2.34) and will be sending one of their hottest pitchers to take the mound tonight, which could create some trouble for this Nationals team.
In 4 starts this season, Kodai Senga is 3-1 with a 0.79 ERA. Senga has a filthy split-finger that has been a nightmare for hitters, generating a 46.9% whiff rate and a 27.5% put-away percentage. For the Nationals, Jake Irvin is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA. Irvin was winless in his first 3 starts but managed to pick up back-to-back wins in his last 2 appearances against Pittsburgh and Colorado. The unfortunate news for Irvin is that the Mets’ offense is significantly better than the Pirates and Rockies. Two hitters Irvin needs to be careful pitching to are Francisco Lindor, who is batting .423 with 4 homers in his last 6 games, and Pete Alonso, who is batting .333 in his last 6 games with 1 homer and 5 RBIs. Juan Soto is still off to a slow start, but he still remains a threat at the plate. The Nationals have the worst bullpen ERA in baseball (6.69), and if the Mets can get to Irvin early it could open the door for them late in the game. At the end of the day, New York has the better lineup and pitching in this matchup.
Mets vs Nationals prediction: New York -1.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
Jason Fragomeni
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The Mets have won 9 of their last 11 matchups against NL East opponents.
The Over is 4-1 in the Nationals' last 5 divisional matchups.
The Mets have covered the run line in their last 3 games with a rest advantage over their opponents.
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