Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Monday, 08/04/25

The Cleveland Guardians face the New York Mets on Monday. These are 2 teams trending in opposite directions with the Guardians being on the positive side. On the mound are Slade Cecconi of the Guardians and Sean Manaea of the Mets. Cecconi has a 3.77 ERA with a 5-4 record on the season. Over his last 5 starts he has given up 15 runs. The odd thing about Cecconi is that he pitches significantly better away from Cleveland. In away games he has a 2.57 ERA giving up just 10 runs in 35.0 innings pitched. This is not good news for a New York club that is batting .203 over the past 6 games while losing 5 out of 6. The issue for the Mets goes deeper than hitting. Their bullpen has given up 15 runs in the last 5 games. With hitting and bullpen play like this, it is no wonder they are on a skid.

For the Mets, Manaea will take the mound. Manaea has pitched well in his 4 starts this year. Through 17.1 innings, he has given up 11 hits and 4 earned runs. While these numbers seem very good, the Mets have managed to lose 3 of his 4 starts. The chances of the Mets dropping another one rise when we consider the fact that the Guardians are batting .294 and averaging over 5 runs per game through the last 6 games. Additionally, the Guardians bat .250 against Manaea through 50 at-bats. If Manaea struggles on the mound, I am not sure New York’s bats and bullpen have the strength to save the day. Overall, I am trusting Cecconi’s away form and struggling to find faith in the Mets. I am rolling with the Guardians to pull off the upset in New York.

Guardians vs Mets prediction: Cleveland ML (+160) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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