Filip Tomic
Pickswise ExpertFilip's Picks
KD and co. have held the fort down in Sengun’s absence and the Rockets all of a sudden find themselves on a 3-game win streak. Their latest victim were the Indiana Pacers and although they didn’t cover in that game, the Rockets will be happy with the result. Sengun’s absence has left a bit of a void in the middle which Steven Adams has filled, however the latest injury report has Adams listed as questionable which could be problematic. Tari Eason and Clint Capela are also on there, the Rockets might struggle with size in this game, which isn’t something we’re used to seeing.
Despite their most recent loss to Golden State, I have really enjoyed watching these Brooklyn Nets over the past couple of weeks. They’ve completely transformed themselves into an alite defensive team, something you don’t see often in today’s NBA. The last 10 games have seen them have the league’s best defensive efficiency, allowing just 105.6 points per 100 possessions. Sharpshooter Michael Porter Jr. is flourishing in his role as the team’s leading scorer, plus Cam Thomas recently returned from injury which should also be a boost to their scoring abilities.
Unless I’m missing something very obvious here, I am not entirely sure why the Rockets are double-digit favorites here. They face a tough minded Nets team and it won’t be easy scoring on them, even for a motivated Kevin Durant who faces an old team of his. I’m happy to risk it a bit and take Brooklyn on the Money Line. For those who want a safer option I’d recommend backing the Nets plus the spread.
Houston Rockets vs Brookly Nets Predictions: Nets ML is available at +375 at time of publishing.
Tyrese Maxey heads back home to Dallas as he looks to lead his 76ers to another win over his hometown Mavericks. Philly dominated the first meeting winning by 7, behind Maxey’s 38 points. Nothing too drastic has happened since that game played 10 days ago, the Sixers will be encouraged here after getting a 34 and 10 performance from Joel Embiid in the OT win at Memphis the other day. Taking care of the ball has been the key for the Sixers this season, they rank 3rd best in turnover percentage over the past 10 games and if they can limit those they’ll be in good shape here.
Dallas got a productive game from Anthony Davis in that first meeting, as he finished with 24 and 15 rebounds. However, Thursday night might see them have to rely on others as AD is still out injured. The defense has really suffered without his presence down low, Dallas has dropped 3 games in a row and 4 of their last 5 games against not-so-elite opponents. Copper Flagg is leading the charge, but relying on a rookie to take you to the promise land isn’t exactly something that can work in the long run in today’s NBA. From a bettors’ perspective the Mavs are an unreliable 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, they’ve lost 7 of 10 meetings against Philadelphia.
I have the Sixers sweeping the regular season series here. Maxey is on fire and he’s going to show up playing in front of his friends and family in Dallas. There could even be a Joel Embiid sighting here, he should be able to assert himself down low with the Mavs lacking a couple of quality big me. Take Philadelphia.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions: 76ers -1.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.